Tennis · resolved market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64316167b0de8bc067d9e5d0ca3a2df77ad09c84744e2d791df45ed8e9888403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 10,748$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390.68 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 63c | 7,958$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.63 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 38c | 5,718$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.54 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 49c | 3,425$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 64c | 2,373$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.96 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 37c | 2,083$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Yes | 65c | 2,028$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 37c | 1,942$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.16 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…29eebacked Yes | 54c | 1,843$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 42c | 1,603$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.52 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…4adbbacked No | 35c | 1,526$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1aecbacked Yes | 65c | 1,526$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 35c | 1,501$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.4 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d2f2backed Yes | 49c | 1,286$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 35c | 1,271$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked No | 33c | 1,245$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.99 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 41c | 1,202$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.15 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 37c | 1,067$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 66c | 793.39$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.85 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4b28backed Yes | 52c | 750$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 66c | 606.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 41c | 507.16$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Yes | 59c | 491.25$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 62c | 477.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Yes | 54c | 472.55$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…cbc2backed Yes | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…de09backed Yes | 64c | 407.05$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 44c | 402.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 69c | 358.65$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes | 64c | 339.53$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…c049backed Yes | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 49c | 306.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 41c | 268.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 47c | 254.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 70c | 249.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 42c | 237.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 62c | 211.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 27c | 207.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 53c | 202.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 188.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 64c | 159.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…6e07backed Yes | 67c | 150.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 44c | 136.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 63c | 128$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed No | 47c | 125.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 38c | 118.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…20abbacked Yes | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…add3backed Yes | 35c | 108.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…3024backed Yes | 30c | 108.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 60c | 103.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…41febacked Yes | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 44c | 100.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 50c | 99.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Yes | 45c | 96.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 52c | 93.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…f393backed Yes | 53c | 93.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 46c | 86.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 59c | 76.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…5533backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 62c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 60c | 68.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked No | 45c | 62.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…2273backed No | 76c | 61.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed No | 39c | 61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Yes | 41c | 60.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed No | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d0d0backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…3946backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Yes | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9613…2d9fbacked No | 41c | 45.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 27c | 44.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…b5f5backed Yes | 47c | 42.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…186abacked Yes | 65c | 40.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Yes | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…83a4backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed Yes | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 30.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…cce7backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Yes | 60c | 21.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…e1bfbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…f985backed Yes | 65c | 15.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…3bdfbacked Yes | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?Yes won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.