Tennis · resolved market
Will Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27290fd99acf07dff5d82f1f3bd576fa900b12cc9fd77ca77f8580d997215002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 14c | 1,912$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.76 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 37c | 1,472$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.55 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 63c | 980$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.6 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 39c | 738.15$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 69c | 650$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 7c | 610.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 40c | 373.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 6c | 361.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 6c | 356.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Yes | 13c | 339.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915b…ffe7backed Yes | 7c | 315$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 7c | 227.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…6f31backed Yes | 6c | 173$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 7c | 159.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…444bbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…9b0bbacked Yes | 40c | 137.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 78c | 135.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…41febacked Yes | 8c | 129.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 63c | 104.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 26c | 97.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 39c | 76.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?Yes won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.