Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump visit Russia before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12da9018becd98b431fb377ae57087ebbe8ad4a1cf82c832fb0aed7c4b6b791d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0833…7191backed Yes | 30c | 97,112$29,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,133.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…4d7fbacked No | 70c | 97,112$67,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,133.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 73c | 8,993$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes | 31c | 7,891$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…b984backed No | 74c | 5,537$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 4,089$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 43c | 2,807$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.8 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 72c | 2,486$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.33 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 34c | 2,465$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.25 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…3cc9backed Yes | 31c | 2,050$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…0a21backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 62c | 1,800$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 5c | 1,717$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 16c | 1,669$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.51 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 2c | 1,657$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 64c | 1,570$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,549$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed Yes | 9c | 1,439$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…b8e1backed Yes | 33c | 1,409$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 5c | 1,334$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 63c | 1,299$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.47 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 69c | 1,291$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked Yes | 2c | 1,232$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 20c | 1,188$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…acdebacked Yes | 1c | 1,140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…ae30backed Yes | 7c | 1,132$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 71c | 1,076$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,027$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 29c | 981.7$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 10c | 976.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 19c | 962.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 835.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…6013backed Yes | 13c | 818.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…fe1abacked Yes | 37c | 802.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…62e2backed No | 71c | 799.34$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…c453backed Yes | 25c | 786.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…4416backed Yes | 2c | 695.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 15c | 669.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed No | 61c | 657.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 73c | 625.46$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…d3eebacked Yes | 15c | 622.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed No | 69c | 587.42$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 8c | 580.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…5789backed Yes | 21c | 569.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked No | 51c | 538.06$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 69c | 527.35$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…b85ebacked Yes | 38c | 525.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 61c | 499.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 29c | 498.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 58c | 415.3$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…043bbacked Yes | 31c | 411.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 406.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…4133backed Yes | 6c | 374.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 60c | 364.08$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 29c | 332.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed Yes | 27c | 300$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 75c | 284.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 248$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 10c | 246.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 32c | 240.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 28c | 234$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…5824backed Yes | 66c | 217.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…2780backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…56a2backed No | 68c | 175.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…4693backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…6658backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 56c | 152.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d157backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 30c | 139$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…7c93backed Yes | 11c | 136.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…cb5bbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…30bcbacked Yes | 13c | 125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…e79ebacked Yes | 32c | 124.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 70c | 111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…2c7cbacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 44c | 101.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…481bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…f0afbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 56c | 99.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…a1c4backed Yes | 33c | 97.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 67c | 91.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 89.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 35c | 86.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…803bbacked Yes | 35c | 85.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…d488backed No | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…051cbacked Yes | 33c | 65.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.