Ukraine · resolved market
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb642dea896e5fa052a9259ad7ba4b759caebb7b1b452d90a5b4c82f8065db1a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $968,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $990,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $968,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf485…53ccbacked No | 0c | 126,533$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…45c9backed No | 0c | 84,185$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde8…bcc4backed No | 0c | 41,980$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…17e1backed No | 0c | 29,850$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…e130backed No | 1c | 28,658$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…b85ebacked No | 3c | 22,997$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked No | 0c | 22,238$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…707dbacked No | 0c | 20,143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 19,999$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.71 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed No | 1c | 18,359$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…2362backed No | 0c | 18,254$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 1c | 17,945$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c35…f4a1backed No | 1c | 13,352$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…c131backed No | 1c | 12,565$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…8179backed No | 1c | 12,284$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 12,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 3c | 10,000$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…0ebebacked No | 1c | 9,429$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4815backed No | 1c | 8,999$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…d521backed No | 0c | 8,702$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…aeddbacked No | 19c | 8,392$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 2c | 7,807$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…4cd6backed No | 0c | 7,787$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…12c3backed No | 2c | 5,356$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…de39backed No | 0c | 5,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…c1b8backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…a1dcbacked No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…e859backed No | 1c | 4,630$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a2…2634backed No | 0c | 4,342$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f9dbbacked No | 2c | 4,201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…66c4backed No | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abf…c6cebacked No | 0c | 3,996$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 46c | 3,934$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b72…7dbbbacked No | 1c | 3,777$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 3,595$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked No | 65c | 3,509$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.9 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 0c | 3,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 3c | 3,500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a07…2de1backed No | 0c | 3,299$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 5c | 3,157$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…78dfbacked No | 0c | 3,049$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…7213backed No | 1c | 3,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…8452backed No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 36c | 2,839$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.01 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…2fe0backed No | 0c | 2,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…6baebacked No | 1c | 2,456$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…b9cdbacked No | 1c | 2,396$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5352backed No | 0c | 2,350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…7512backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 36c | 2,000$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.33 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 46c | 1,968$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 4c | 1,740$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed No | 1c | 1,732$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…c6c9backed No | 23c | 1,686$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 54c | 1,598$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 32c | 1,530$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.72 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed No | 8c | 1,322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed No | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 60c | 1,100$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…7ee1backed No | 17c | 1,064$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…61edbacked Yes | 29c | 1,038$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…8483backed Yes | 55c | 910.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 33c | 899.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…1f91backed Yes | 32c | 861.38$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 33c | 757$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 4c | 755.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…ccbabacked No | 79c | 754.86$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 73c | 587.49$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5688…f2f1backed Yes | 72c | 569.55$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked No | 68c | 501.37$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed No | 75c | 494.61$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed Yes | 41c | 484.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 19c | 446.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.06 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 54c | 436$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 66c | 427$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…d109backed No | 6c | 419.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 46c | 415$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed No | 32c | 403.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked No | 74c | 371.47$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107f…fe60backed Yes | 35c | 359.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 5c | 350.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked No | 68c | 344$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…0aa1backed Yes | 29c | 342.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 69c | 334.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…5f19backed No | 56c | 330$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e56…1825backed Yes | 34c | 317.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…7bdabacked No | 3c | 311.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…250ebacked Yes | 24c | 302.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 72c | 259.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.89 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 27c | 259.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…18d9backed No | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 34c | 238.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.