TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6253…20a6backed No50c11,579$5,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,788.994447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0997…c238backed No43c10,206$4,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,421.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4558…a2b3backed Yes62c4,264$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes54c3,066$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.94650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked No46c2,948$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.6436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes69c2,891$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.0475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes46c2,200$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.1338445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5576…0a66backed Yes64c1,861$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes67c1,845$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.322343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd4…5688backed Yes61c1,631$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No33c1,537$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.0772847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes29c1,299$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28c3…42cbbacked Yes57c1,290$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.411172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No60c1,169$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a2…8c84backed Yes48c1,160$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No69c1,111$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked No71c1,042$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No34c974.71$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.045752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes77c953.58$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5811352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No23c848.21$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.071464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick29cpaid+168.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes57c847.35$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Yes52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.232853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes46c718.21$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.420751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Yes39c708.2$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.433650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No64c625.36$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.431442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked No40c473.29$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe97f…b920backed Yes64c466.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe199…56a2backed Yes49c458.82$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.091050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No39c430.46$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9831744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e6a…2720backed No42c429$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.12751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0059…f33fbacked Yes52c415.65$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes60c411$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.45632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed No38c400.17$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2765345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked No40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2397…8eb2backed No49c342.74$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a9…6a74backed No60c321.03$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes66c303.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.725347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked No50c302.87$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ded…466fbacked No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed No7c295.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf0…5c64backed Yes55c290.76$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…1872backed Yes69c290.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes26c286$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked No68c284.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No34c279.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.37936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No32c275.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3557238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Yes40c264.04$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.427842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd294…c16cbacked No57c263.53$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Yes32c259.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5930155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0930…0d60backed No69c250.74$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x297a…92e0backed No44c248.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed No43c212.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No74c205.36$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0976450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e5…fae1backed Yes69c202.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed Yes63c200.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked No57c200.04$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.173132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f83…e17ebacked Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No18c199.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.831241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x902e…b45dbacked No65c199.62$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes56c192.97$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.981118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes71c183.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9f…6f68backed Yes69c175.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…fbdcbacked No74c167.95$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.222347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes59c162.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.997652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e46…8227backed Yes42c161.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa568…6987backed Yes47c152.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21d9…ddbcbacked Yes69c150.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+180.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes58c147.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8913655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes60c147.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.86940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc5…3702backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x723d…f127backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed No69c145.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18d…f783backed Yes70c141.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No66c140.51$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.84110%0 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe38d…6c36backed Yes39c137.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.791833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce3d…f363backed No75c134.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42d…abd8backed Yes30c132.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.82119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3f1…ee13backed Yes68c131.84$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…3e1bbacked Yes41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed Yes58c128.48$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No34c126.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5922516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19f…19a9backed Yes44c123.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…b335backed Yes65c122.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…4c5abacked Yes46c122.04$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No39c118.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.327350.7%37 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes33c113.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28d6…8322backed Yes44c113.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes50c111.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed No73c108.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0511951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…c0cdbacked No33c108$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.372842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…2d2cbacked Yes28c107$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.431435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e1d…6e74backed Yes69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45f6…9f73backed Yes58c100.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424650%23 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bbd…75c0backed Yes65c100.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed6…58b9backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked No56c99.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.99175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x793f…4ee5backed Yes60c99.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.