Us Politics · resolved market
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc605cc488f4ebc8436af7fc418c3badebd76a8f43ed1fedb480db66f767ae152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x431d…a7d9backed Yes | 32c | 95,199$30,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,463.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…4d7fbacked No | 68c | 95,199$64,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,463.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…3428backed Yes | 53c | 7,865$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…b77abacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +313.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 43c | 4,109$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.6 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 58c | 3,748$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.63 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.28 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 2,685$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.41 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,083$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…4f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,719$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 14c | 1,713$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 43c | 1,699$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.96 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,300$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,279$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.26 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Yes | 9c | 1,243$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…39afbacked Yes | 54c | 870$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 62c | 850$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 73c | 844.27$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 773$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 43c | 740.67$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.59 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 49c | 699.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 46c | 640$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 36c | 499.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 21c | 447.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 40c | 444.08$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 5c | 414$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 384.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…eab9backed No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 6c | 304.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 46c | 302.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…6213backed Yes | 59c | 292.87$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…25c9backed Yes | 8c | 289.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 284.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 58c | 284.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 64c | 280.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…e9dfbacked Yes | 56c | 267.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ef…3870backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1261backed No | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 38c | 235.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1f…34babacked Yes | 54c | 185.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…9f94backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…195bbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…2da6backed Yes | 60c | 166.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…d8fcbacked Yes | 61c | 144.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 64c | 140$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef5…3cb5backed Yes | 69c | 134.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…6ff1backed Yes | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…c974backed Yes | 68c | 110.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…d662backed No | 56c | 105.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…9db9backed Yes | 50c | 102.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…00fdbacked Yes | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…f961backed No | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…8444backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…91d1backed Yes | 59c | 84.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 70c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…f9a4backed Yes | 68c | 73.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b47…1cf9backed Yes | 60c | 71.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 54c | 70.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ed…20b0backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…28d5backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 57c | 63.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 50c | 60.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed No | 56c | 53.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…73d2backed Yes | 58c | 51.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 39c | 49.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 33c | 44.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 76c | 44.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed No | 57c | 43.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 49c | 40.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…511ebacked No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…8e16backed Yes | 63c | 33.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…d9f3backed Yes | 35c | 31.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…7a82backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…cb6abacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…db65backed Yes | 67c | 29.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed Yes | 57c | 27.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…bfbbbacked No | 47c | 27.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…9d2fbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.