Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Cooper Flagg win the Wooden Award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f4482ea919d9a2cc4bbaee2cd9a5bd300e448b345094327a3d43cd559871098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 69c | 5,499$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 30c | 2,964$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 35c | 1,365$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.51 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 75c | 940.84$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 73c | 899.78$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 68c | 843.21$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed Yes | 70c | 663.62$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Yes | 78c | 599.99$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 80c | 444.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 22c | 395.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 53c | 311.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 15c | 303.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…dbdcbacked Yes | 56c | 220$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 39c | 203$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Yes | 61c | 198.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 55c | 132$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 39c | 99.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 65c | 98.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 37c | 97.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…2285backed No | 25c | 60.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 74c | 45.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 57c | 33.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…e6c9backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…c4fcbacked No | 60c | 31.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…77d1backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Yes | 55c | 27.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…64debacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…c067backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…e581backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cooper Flagg win the Wooden Award?this page
- Will Chaz Lanier win the Wooden Award?No won
- Will Eric Dixon win the Wooden Award?No won
- Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award?No won
- Will Kam Jones win the Wooden Award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.