Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf032ca2b234cf7524a640d9980f36c225df79066823eff318f0a295f8cc46f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afa…dba8backed Yes | 52c | 139,596$72,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,589.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…9772backed No | 48c | 139,596$67,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,589.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 15c | 1,377$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed Yes | 15c | 1,123$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 9c | 698.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 41c | 514.79$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…2285backed Yes | 23c | 482.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 32c | 455.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 55c | 358.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 285.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001d…316dbacked Yes | 75c | 252.66$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 62c | 175$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 70c | 163$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 120.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 23c | 101.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 21c | 85.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 62c | 27.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 76c | 23.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 51c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…dbdcbacked Yes | 58c | 22.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 75c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award?this page
- Will Chaz Lanier win the Wooden Award?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the Wooden Award?Yes won
- Will Eric Dixon win the Wooden Award?No won
- Will Kam Jones win the Wooden Award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.