Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b1922e8f436430a99511ad0a8029fd84a62d8bc91ac52b22455399ce598152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $843,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $876,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc001…d003backed No | 42c | 98,772$41,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,287.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…190bbacked Yes | 58c | 98,772$57,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,287.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…bdfebacked No | 30c | 88,326$26,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,828.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…b57ebacked Yes | 70c | 88,326$61,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,828.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…148dbacked No | 43c | 75,142$32,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,830.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…3fc9backed Yes | 57c | 75,142$42,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,830.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Yes | 32c | 54,291$17,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,394.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 70c | 23,466$16,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,953.02 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 18c | 11,283$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 4c | 10,162$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked No | 39c | 7,695$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.48 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 9c | 7,091$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.96 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 75c | 7,061$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 74c | 6,768$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 55c | 6,149$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 59c | 5,690$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.09 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…39b4backed No | 35c | 4,247$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 72c | 3,960$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Yes | 30c | 3,247$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 71c | 3,243$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.08 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 54c | 3,084$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.02 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 6c | 2,870$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked No | 43c | 2,529$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 42c | 2,364$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.06 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…feb3backed No | 71c | 2,121$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…9c0ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,024$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked No | 46c | 1,895$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 60c | 1,678$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,583$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.68 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed Yes | 68c | 1,530$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 58c | 1,504$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…ce25backed No | 69c | 1,413$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,388$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 13c | 1,355$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked No | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 13c | 1,245$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 35c | 1,236$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.31 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…cd45backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 59c | 1,143$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 33c | 1,140$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.17 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 52c | 1,134$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.34 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 61c | 1,116$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 74c | 1,094$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.93 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…38aabacked Yes | 3c | 1,082$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 1,067$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…2e5fbacked No | 39c | 1,040$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ac…087abacked Yes | 4c | 1,029$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…dd88backed No | 33c | 1,009$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 60c | 1,000$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 57c | 926.93$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.62 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 56c | 912.89$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 58c | 900$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.55 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d3f8backed No | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 9c | 894.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 73c | 861.01$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 56c | 855.45$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 63c | 855.1$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.16 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 31c | 804.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.11 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 35c | 800$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 3c | 786.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed No | 33c | 770.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed No | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…e2f8backed Yes | 3c | 650.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…8f2cbacked Yes | 58c | 627.74$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…327ebacked Yes | 32c | 618.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes | 36c | 600.88$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 49c | 599.97$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 61c | 595.6$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.91 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 53c | 587.56$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.41 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 56c | 577.86$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 66c | 573.8$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.69 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 39c | 550$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 66c | 533.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 529.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 44c | 525.58$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Yes | 38c | 516$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 32c | 499.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 32c | 491.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.18 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 68c | 468.74$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 16c | 464.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 49c | 463.83$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 37c | 450$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed Yes | 39c | 450$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked No | 46c | 449.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…49e8backed Yes | 68c | 441.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 427.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 51c | 416.09$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 50c | 414.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 63c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 60c | 398.62$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked No | 48c | 396.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 7c | 390.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…1d2dbacked Yes | 68c | 390.07$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 40c | 390$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Yes | 58c | 382.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.