World Politics · resolved market
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a369bc286924ad5ec7b8a6c906ebd7e79739d8b97fc1bc0ca0f629d71963a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,857,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,963,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,857,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ed1…12a8backed Yes | 56c | 96,553$54,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,483.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…613dbacked No | 44c | 96,553$42,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,483.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…4d06backed No | 4c | 59,896$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…03ebbacked Yes | 64c | 54,899$35,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,763.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…2147backed No | 36c | 54,899$19,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,763.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 75c | 49,811$37,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,456.7 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 6c | 46,841$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.92 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 16c | 46,380$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.42 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 42,900$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked No | 3c | 40,979$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 14c | 40,781$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.38 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 2c | 37,767$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.06 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 79c | 34,214$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,214.48 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 33,627$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.78 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 9c | 31,997$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.73 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 30,374$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 11c | 22,540$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 6c | 19,267$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.78 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…6de3backed No | 2c | 13,551$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…0886backed No | 6c | 12,600$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 19c | 12,579$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 37c | 12,408$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,837.42 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 6c | 12,323$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.48 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7dfbbacked No | 8c | 11,500$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 6c | 11,100$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.2 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 56c | 10,839$6,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.29 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 4c | 10,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…49b5backed No | 18c | 9,001$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…d6a8backed No | 4c | 7,542$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4c…472fbacked No | 28c | 7,001$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked No | 6c | 6,801$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.22 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 1c | 5,653$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 33c | 5,414$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.52 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…0634backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…bd0bbacked No | 3c | 4,868$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 7c | 4,335$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.51 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…e358backed No | 13c | 4,308$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed No | 4c | 4,013$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 6c | 3,999$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 76c | 3,860$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.81 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…f63cbacked No | 6c | 3,671$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324d…445dbacked No | 6c | 3,030$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b50…c17bbacked No | 52c | 2,926$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 6c | 2,922$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 6c | 2,900$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.23 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 30c | 2,899$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.11 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…2b89backed No | 7c | 2,806$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 70c | 2,735$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.19 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked No | 17c | 2,678$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.61 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 16c | 2,645$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.35 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 14c | 2,641$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.84 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 17c | 2,621$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.43 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…95ebbacked Yes | 78c | 2,571$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 7c | 2,546$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…8c58backed No | 7c | 2,362$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 69c | 2,244$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 68c | 2,151$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.76 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 75c | 2,073$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.81 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 5c | 2,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked No | 19c | 1,792$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 22c | 1,791$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.91 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,769$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.74 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 58c | 1,735$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 1,683$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.37 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cd…03bcbacked No | 6c | 1,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 53c | 1,649$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.16 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 1,640$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed No | 40c | 1,624$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…f421backed No | 1c | 1,607$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 57c | 1,564$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.93 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked No | 15c | 1,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…a6a9backed No | 7c | 1,490$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…2131backed No | 7c | 1,468$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,430$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd1…8933backed No | 10c | 1,426$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a2b1backed No | 11c | 1,381$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x643e…1f65backed No | 10c | 1,364$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…0c0abacked Yes | 44c | 1,358$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 79c | 1,268$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…c959backed No | 6c | 1,229$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…64e0backed Yes | 74c | 1,219$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 1,165$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 76c | 1,114$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.65 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 1,103$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20e…7d58backed No | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…feb6backed No | 4c | 1,061$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 76c | 1,020$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.91 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514d…54f5backed No | 6c | 1,004$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +222%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…3e77backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…21abbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…4e09backed No | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…4fb9backed Yes | 75c | 943.12$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8486…e4a7backed No | 4c | 934$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…1547backed No | 12c | 916.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…3e79backed No | 75c | 902.47$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?this page
- Will Anton Pisaroglu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.