World Politics · resolved market
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x352334b7e81d7ec7442d743e569547331edf2ed4284e584485103a681be3566c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6cf…fdc5backed No | 75c | 50,039$37,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,509.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…67c0backed Yes | 25c | 50,039$12,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,509.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 39,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 2c | 38,456$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 35,774$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.8 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 27,636$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.35 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Yes | 5c | 27,124$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 3c | 21,292$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.73 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 1c | 18,975$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9f…8772backed Yes | 1c | 16,901$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 14,969$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 4c | 14,744$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…0634backed Yes | 0c | 12,082$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 4c | 10,250$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.66 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…db7ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,529$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…4d06backed Yes | 7c | 6,252$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 7c | 5,831$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.26 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,648$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,591$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e04…88abbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 3c | 5,221$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…1547backed Yes | 5c | 5,040$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…653cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,023$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 16c | 4,807$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.12 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…21abbacked Yes | 8c | 4,398$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…4b85backed Yes | 3c | 3,812$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…d977backed Yes | 8c | 3,384$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 9c | 3,322$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…17efbacked Yes | 5c | 3,267$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dda…fbefbacked Yes | 5c | 3,201$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…09bfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…93a9backed Yes | 3c | 3,085$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,934$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 4c | 2,739$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +454.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…5d65backed Yes | 4c | 2,622$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5187…dbd2backed Yes | 5c | 2,346$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…0f62backed Yes | 5c | 2,205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 13c | 2,077$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.59 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed Yes | 3c | 1,933$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…f383backed Yes | 3c | 1,862$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…e8a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,784$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…2df1backed Yes | 7c | 1,541$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…5403backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb773…b94dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,487$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…378ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,433$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…f421backed Yes | 2c | 1,391$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…9806backed Yes | 5c | 1,294$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…c3d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e693backed Yes | 4c | 1,245$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…9679backed Yes | 19c | 1,240$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…df75backed Yes | 1c | 1,219$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…e0a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,209$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed No | 70c | 1,192$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…bd0bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,134$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…681dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…45fcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,033$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…da37backed Yes | 5c | 1,023$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 13c | 1,009$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…3fdcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 4c | 965.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 963.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…9cb1backed Yes | 4c | 935.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…879ebacked Yes | 12c | 926.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…9faebacked Yes | 14c | 873.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…8a55backed Yes | 4c | 850.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…7462backed Yes | 19c | 839.41$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 22c | 835.37$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.45 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…ff56backed Yes | 4c | 816.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…2abdbacked Yes | 13c | 704.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…aea0backed Yes | 3c | 702.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8099backed Yes | 3c | 656.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3d…83f8backed Yes | 31c | 640.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…aca9backed Yes | 3c | 587$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 21cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…78f5backed Yes | 4c | 567.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…9150backed Yes | 9c | 567$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…470ebacked Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…8f1bbacked Yes | 3c | 535.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…e62dbacked Yes | 30c | 533$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 4c | 527.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66af…ffa9backed Yes | 4c | 520.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +443.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…cf5bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…1281backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed Yes | 28c | 466.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…7410backed Yes | 4c | 458.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…4b0abacked Yes | 5c | 450.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 16c | 442.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…59f0backed Yes | 4c | 440.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09e…ee74backed Yes | 5c | 429.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9f…22b5backed Yes | 4c | 423.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…9cf1backed Yes | 4c | 403.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…af94backed Yes | 4c | 388.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…3093backed Yes | 3c | 379.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…0786backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…94edbacked Yes | 3c | 368.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7b11backed Yes | 26c | 362.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?this page
- Will Anton Pisaroglu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.