World Politics · resolved market
Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a5acfd9748a4623acc69f58e67564d00620e25703b139bd8cdcdd0cd97e1fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 47,278$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.15 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 1c | 46,921$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 35,715$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.72 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 22,748$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 4c | 15,947$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…1547backed Yes | 5c | 14,778$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…5634backed Yes | 3c | 12,879$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…0634backed Yes | 0c | 12,373$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,626$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e04…88abbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…39d8backed Yes | 2c | 8,904$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…17efbacked Yes | 4c | 8,801$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 4c | 6,692$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.81 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes | 1c | 5,959$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…2995backed Yes | 7c | 5,460$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.02 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…653cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,196$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7044backed Yes | 7c | 3,640$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Yes | 3c | 3,520$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…9753backed Yes | 7c | 3,189$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,111$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 7c | 2,928$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed Yes | 3c | 2,735$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 3c | 2,635$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…1281backed Yes | 8c | 2,526$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 7c | 2,192$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes | 3c | 2,172$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e693backed Yes | 3c | 2,121$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…3e79backed Yes | 2c | 2,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…f421backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…f383backed Yes | 2c | 1,915$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…84e5backed Yes | 3c | 1,897$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,711$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5187…dbd2backed Yes | 7c | 1,496$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 5c | 1,230$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…4b63backed Yes | 3c | 1,180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…b4f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,164$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 2c | 1,129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…4b85backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…02a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,019$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…f5b7backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +622.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…3fdcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…e62fbacked Yes | 8c | 956.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707f…b629backed Yes | 2c | 935.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 5c | 892.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 855.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…9faebacked Yes | 9c | 843.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 831.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 4c | 796.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…3093backed Yes | 3c | 757.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…a28ebacked Yes | 7c | 740.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…50dbbacked Yes | 10c | 692.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed Yes | 7c | 661.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…94edbacked Yes | 2c | 639.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…2d73backed Yes | 3c | 635.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…bac5backed Yes | 4c | 632.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…eb59backed Yes | 2c | 629.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…78f5backed Yes | 3c | 594.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…879ebacked Yes | 9c | 584.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…f76fbacked Yes | 8c | 581.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…2dedbacked Yes | 8c | 577.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 531.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…d5ddbacked Yes | 4c | 526.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…e8a4backed Yes | 2c | 507.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes | 2c | 504.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…35a9backed Yes | 3c | 503.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…e689backed Yes | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…bd0bbacked Yes | 9c | 478.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…3b12backed Yes | 7c | 471.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 9c | 466.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…93a9backed Yes | 2c | 465.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 5c | 445$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…df8ebacked Yes | 6c | 408.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…9d47backed Yes | 8c | 363.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +365.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 6c | 331.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 7c | 328.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…d8b8backed Yes | 16c | 314.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…ff56backed Yes | 5c | 303.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dd…b190backed Yes | 8c | 295.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4cccbacked Yes | 6c | 291.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 274.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 125 | 6.4%8 W · 117 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4817…8f8abacked Yes | 7c | 269.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 10c | 268.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…c58abacked Yes | 5c | 259.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 241.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 5c | 222.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 13c | 221.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509a…8a43backed Yes | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 10c | 206.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 7c | 204$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 8c | 200.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…5a82backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…2b03backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 15c | 197.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 188.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…660fbacked Yes | 9c | 186.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 10c | 180$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…87cbbacked Yes | 9c | 174.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…321abacked Yes | 14c | 167.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?this page
- Will Anton Pisaroglu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.