Space · resolved market
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f20d484415858e352da85028cdf5061fe67d4db727b6d55aaa8b102747a8acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5356…ed53backed Yes | 41c | 102,500$42,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,025 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…e269backed No | 59c | 102,500$60,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,025 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 65c | 5,832$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…6b50backed Yes | 5c | 5,178$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 47c | 2,109$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 23c | 1,790$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…4fc7backed No | 79c | 1,647$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 52c | 1,309$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 27c | 1,207$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,194$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 3c | 972$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…56b0backed Yes | 28c | 929.87$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…672ebacked No | 54c | 924.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 883.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…0ac9backed Yes | 20c | 818.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…32d5backed Yes | 20c | 617.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…002bbacked Yes | 17c | 550$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 33c | 544.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…8919backed Yes | 3c | 538$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 536.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…a8b6backed Yes | 51c | 530$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 31c | 500.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes | 3c | 497$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked No | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…a4eebacked Yes | 41c | 482.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d0d0backed Yes | 42c | 421.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 22c | 367.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 3c | 366$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 38c | 361.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed Yes | 41c | 347.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…63acbacked Yes | 8c | 314.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd9…62cfbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…b6c6backed Yes | 17c | 288.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 39c | 265.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 18c | 264.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a318backed No | 44c | 251.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…318abacked Yes | 10c | 238.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 42c | 233.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 18c | 230.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 65c | 222.63$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 10c | 196.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…a9cabacked Yes | 27c | 182.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 14c | 178.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1550…ed70backed Yes | 55c | 175.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 16c | 162$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…dc41backed Yes | 46c | 146.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…d992backed Yes | 39c | 130.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 73c | 118.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…bcd6backed No | 47c | 114.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 53c | 107.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d63cbacked No | 62c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 26cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…9944backed Yes | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 47c | 102.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…77c1backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x020f…8357backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…6b37backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…2a64backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…b8c2backed Yes | 37c | 99.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…4081backed Yes | 25c | 99.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…f4cbbacked Yes | 30c | 94.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 63c | 92.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…1675backed No | 48c | 90.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669f…f6cfbacked No | 62c | 88.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bbc1backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982d…753abacked No | 62c | 84.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c12…2b11backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc055…b4c1backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…b089backed Yes | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 45c | 75.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 44c | 73.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4a…c173backed Yes | 38c | 71.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed No | 79c | 71.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 77c | 71.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…b820backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 62c | 64.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 25c | 61.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…f8d4backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…dbd2backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 58.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 63c | 58.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335b…8114backed Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 62c | 55.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…0e19backed No | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 59c | 49.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.