Ukraine · resolved market
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bcb29016c13ecb705de35015e1e436fd462b975264fb105408760e3d3e41ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 5,751$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 21c | 4,344$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.01 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 18c | 3,100$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.96 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 1c | 3,066$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 76c | 2,529$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 76c | 2,494$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,481$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.33 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 9c | 2,355$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…b251backed Yes | 24c | 2,096$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 21c | 2,075$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…0569backed No | 74c | 2,025$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…ef4cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 9c | 1,822$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 15c | 1,617$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.07 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 75c | 1,581$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…2edcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,565$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 66c | 1,562$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.97 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 33c | 1,311$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.68 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,232$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…1578backed No | 17c | 1,231$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 37c | 1,215$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.27 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Yes | 26c | 1,181$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 74c | 1,150$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.21 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…31f2backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 10c | 838.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 50c | 822.62$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked Yes | 25c | 787.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 14c | 714$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 58c | 707.47$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 7c | 700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 16c | 700$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 78c | 690$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…8d71backed Yes | 28c | 688.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 31c | 612.47$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.05 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed No | 78c | 600$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked No | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…d6aebacked No | 74c | 599.99$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed Yes | 28c | 599.86$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 593$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 77c | 582$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.14 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…c2acbacked No | 76c | 581.37$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked No | 70c | 574.34$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 31c | 516.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.26 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 15c | 500$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…283bbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…8de9backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 33c | 491.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…c6c9backed No | 77c | 481.59$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…fbc3backed Yes | 15c | 454.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +558.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 38c | 445.53$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Yes | 24c | 404.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 31c | 400.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.38 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 20c | 400.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 387.8$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.81 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 50c | 380$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc05…632dbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 23c | 342.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…62d1backed Yes | 30c | 335.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes | 15c | 330.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 9c | 322.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +86%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107f…fe60backed Yes | 67c | 319.32$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…250ebacked No | 73c | 310.28$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 29c | 303.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 26c | 300$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…0d07backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…2692backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…5f19backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 79c | 298.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.51 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked No | 79c | 289.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +152%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…8f33backed Yes | 36c | 276.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 17c | 274.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.09 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed No | 77c | 274.12$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 11c | 259.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8316backed No | 77c | 259.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 27c | 257.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…e869backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…14c7backed Yes | 16c | 241.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed Yes | 22c | 225.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 76c | 203.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…71adbacked Yes | 14c | 202$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +225%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…d18dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked Yes | 11c | 199.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 196.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked No | 72c | 191.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 69c | 169.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…b924backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…b26ebacked Yes | 9c | 162.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.