Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d02e53b154db81e37b8e3a4ba085f31d3452af65bbf423681fd8b6baf6db86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 26c | 8,791$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,473.59 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,165$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.95 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 4c | 1,684$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked Yes | 34c | 1,510$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…3ac3backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…5b15backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…83f2backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…d9e7backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…b224backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…e1d4backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…d1dabacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +352.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…4461backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…0510backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…1244backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…5f4cbacked No | 74c | 1,379$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 25c | 1,246$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.73 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 33c | 1,235$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.29 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,224$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.63 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…efc5backed Yes | 29c | 1,153$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 70c | 1,144$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked No | 69c | 1,055$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 41c | 1,046$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.51 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 72c | 1,000$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.15 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 28c | 974.4$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 906.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 73c | 805.26$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 773.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.17 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 30c | 726.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcc…1606backed No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 73c | 676.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 32c | 629.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Yes | 35c | 473.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 64c | 472.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 31c | 450.24$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.16 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…5a49backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked No | 69c | 299.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…4915backed Yes | 28c | 247$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 17c | 190.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 29c | 179.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 166.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…50c4backed Yes | 27c | 162.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 72c | 159.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d99…e874backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 30c | 143.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked No | 73c | 136$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked No | 69c | 118.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 13c | 114$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…cd24backed Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd1…d89fbacked No | 68c | 100.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…340ebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 94.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd2…3323backed No | 72c | 91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…e75cbacked No | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…3551backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…67e0backed No | 68c | 85.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…a901backed Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…e5c6backed No | 74c | 72.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…e6a1backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…1fbcbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…dbbebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 21c | 70.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5255…a516backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…8c79backed No | 68c | 67.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…7756backed No | 72c | 66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…99c6backed Yes | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 30c | 65.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed Yes | 32c | 62.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 33c | 60.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 67c | 56.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…28d5backed No | 72c | 53.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 67c | 52.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…7ae2backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…046abacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…74fbbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa653…4da3backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…9e0cbacked Yes | 28c | 41.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…b8aebacked No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…1071backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…3831backed No | 74c | 31.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…f507backed No | 74c | 31.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 74c | 30.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a49…97dbbacked No | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…3281backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…6ed7backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…8857backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Brentford win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.