Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e451f3108db3772b6828fc1644754b454847692202d019db19c1d89b26a2ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15af…e753backed No | 72c | 10,466$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…9eb3backed Yes | 28c | 6,800$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…6f2bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,666$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 9c | 3,553$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.9 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e2babacked Yes | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…5bc5backed Yes | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…b893backed Yes | 28c | 2,300$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…d59dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,100$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…fbcabacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…4ec0backed Yes | 28c | 1,900$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f2…f396backed No | 72c | 1,900$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…12aebacked Yes | 28c | 1,900$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb4…a29dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…cb4fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8ed7backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…b37abacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…564ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…960dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b6…1117backed No | 73c | 1,380$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…1623backed No | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…15febacked No | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…ac18backed No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…34d4backed No | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…154bbacked No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…b8c0backed No | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…e46bbacked No | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…92bbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…bcd6backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b25…b315backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f9…383cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…81dbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…f24dbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 5c | 935.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…e29abacked Yes | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…4992backed No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…269bbacked No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05c…3d4cbacked No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…6c83backed Yes | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…1a12backed No | 73c | 900$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 33c | 812.66$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…5dd7backed No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…6b17backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…cca9backed No | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…2a65backed No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…729cbacked No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…4f57backed No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…2189backed No | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…351fbacked No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 66c | 784.31$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…6913backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…7d71backed Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…e5cdbacked No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…ae86backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…d1dabacked No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +352.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b4…a0eebacked Yes | 27c | 680$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…23f8backed Yes | 35c | 565.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…d8b5backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…1331backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 475.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…cff3backed Yes | 12c | 423.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 11c | 370.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…f393backed Yes | 12c | 205.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0902…7752backed Yes | 10c | 191.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 35c | 165.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 10c | 163.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 163.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 7c | 147.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 145.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 12c | 124.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 9c | 123.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 30c | 114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e6…f3b8backed Yes | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…cd24backed Yes | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…9f32backed Yes | 11c | 100.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…b8e1backed Yes | 10c | 100.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 36c | 83.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…4340backed No | 66c | 75.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…5d79backed Yes | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…2980backed No | 66c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…4229backed No | 66c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…a24cbacked Yes | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ad…c343backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac82…396abacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…bee8backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…3291backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…ff76backed No | 73c | 66.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…ec91backed Yes | 30c | 65.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9383…99e5backed Yes | 29c | 64.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…b1bfbacked Yes | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc083…0a9bbacked No | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…bc43backed Yes | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3059…e806backed No | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…e131backed No | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…c269backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?this page
- Will Brentford win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.