Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77478299b15435e1bcfedde3af4e1aa181d0d0b1f12bf3ad20fc6816714b7564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 11c | 5,089$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.04 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 10c | 3,453$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…9949backed Yes | 14c | 1,700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 14c | 1,099$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 10c | 1,031$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 15c | 530$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 16c | 505$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 15c | 499.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 284$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…6856backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 10c | 208$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 14c | 198.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…1ad8backed Yes | 15c | 168.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 15c | 165.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…641bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 15c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0902…7752backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…cd24backed Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…a4a2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…335bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 12c | 93.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…a664backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Brentford win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.