Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34295c16ef1e45b468381a9aa35676b0f4cc29e80b36b80fdb1f3163f522b33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 45c | 7,841$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.05 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 4,743$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.31 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 7c | 4,470$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 29c | 3,465$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 3,408$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 52c | 3,148$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.83 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 6c | 2,964$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 30c | 2,881$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.03 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 29c | 2,755$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 60c | 2,517$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.32 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…ea13backed Yes | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…75debacked Yes | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 72c | 2,448$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…83bfbacked Yes | 28c | 2,401$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 74c | 2,144$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.74 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 58c | 2,137$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f2…f396backed Yes | 28c | 1,900$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…84d6backed Yes | 28c | 1,900$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 52c | 1,796$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 26c | 1,600$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 60c | 1,524$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…1593backed Yes | 73c | 1,524$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,420$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 70c | 1,400$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Yes | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…cb3fbacked No | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad4…3dc1backed No | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 28c | 1,244$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.68 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…40a4backed No | 72c | 1,201$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…bae5backed No | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…97cdbacked No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…259abacked No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 61c | 1,146$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.03 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,135$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…0f5dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,107$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…833abacked Yes | 42c | 1,096$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…81dbbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…d23abacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 71c | 977.7$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 27c | 973.66$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.12 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec9…0c67backed No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…6c83backed No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 70c | 855.09$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.95 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Yes | 40c | 841.12$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 54c | 834.69$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 69c | 690$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.1 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…dc53backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 70c | 639.71$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.8 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…3c96backed Yes | 75c | 594.59$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Yes | 71c | 547.44$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 48c | 531.7$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 59c | 516.53$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.58 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 57c | 499.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 72c | 460.33$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 25c | 434.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 40c | 432.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…b1e9backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…c713backed Yes | 75c | 368$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 28c | 355.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 62c | 351.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 70c | 335.93$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 56c | 335$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 60c | 327.48$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 324.19$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed No | 60c | 301.08$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…cff4backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 59c | 294$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed Yes | 70c | 284.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…f31fbacked Yes | 74c | 270.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…0967backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 61c | 237$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 70c | 229.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 29c | 228.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…6415backed Yes | 40c | 200.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0406…0ed5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…2509backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…8520backed Yes | 70c | 186.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 39c | 185.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5538…f65dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…ec43backed Yes | 42c | 169.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked Yes | 72c | 152.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 67c | 146.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Brentford win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.