TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Atlhletic Bilbao, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlhletic Bilbaoof AS Roma, Atlhletic Bilbao
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ced…12b2backed Atlhletic Bilbao58c862.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked AS Roma42c654.78$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3516242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed AS Roma46c444.78$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked AS Roma50c312.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.76535.7%3 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed AS Roma42c308$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked AS Roma60c180.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6933055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Atlhletic Bilbao58c172.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7813552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Atlhletic Bilbao59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc4…f39bbacked Atlhletic Bilbao51c145.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked AS Roma41c131.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.841145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d21…28ddbacked AS Roma42c130.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32d…001ebacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c130$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784d…dd3ebacked AS Roma58c130$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c0…a164backed AS Roma58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91b…a7afbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19bb…3439backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa950…a40ebacked AS Roma58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c4…64d2backed Atlhletic Bilbao41c117$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…56f7backed AS Roma59c117$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x560e…c110backed AS Roma58c115$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c1…6c21backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c115$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda25…b63ebacked AS Roma58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9747…3cd3backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e6…16a6backed AS Roma58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2a…1861backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6766…0ce6backed AS Roma60c102$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da4…440dbacked Atlhletic Bilbao40c102$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8171…2442backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe757…faf8backed AS Roma59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b72…51f0backed Atlhletic Bilbao41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa687…097ebacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…a9a6backed AS Roma58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…90e4backed AS Roma58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ba…f0b2backed AS Roma58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…f8fcbacked AS Roma58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…7092backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c90$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d55…2e1dbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c90$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Atlhletic Bilbao57c88.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0720655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed AS Roma61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba4e…a500backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f0…9d2cbacked AS Roma58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…b707backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x446b…bf5bbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…07a4backed AS Roma58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…84e1backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5474…55d9backed AS Roma58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9eb…32d4backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7086…d776backed AS Roma58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1f…d217backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1979…e7f7backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3c…30edbacked AS Roma58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa40…1553backed AS Roma58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a01…5b45backed AS Roma58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ab…0276backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb6…5cc2backed AS Roma58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…3f70backed AS Roma58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833b…ba66backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3201…42b3backed AS Roma58c71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd634…4c93backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6763…2702backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf083…3062backed AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747d…99eabacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3d…ea94backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338e…4172backed AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ec…77dabacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6047…97bebacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f6…4112backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb2…3752backed AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x665e…3594backed AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b1…2a9cbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5b…14aebacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ed…288abacked AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d0…978cbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6250…172abacked AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f81…ee9ebacked AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…69bdbacked AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd909…bd2abacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…ba8ebacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…819fbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfded…a5bdbacked AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d3…0b0ebacked AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd5…ccd5backed AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…0754backed AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6044…af30backed AS Roma58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63fa…2a26backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42d3…6ae4backed AS Roma60c68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6d…752bbacked Atlhletic Bilbao40c68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed8…211fbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e71…6b1dbacked AS Roma58c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e9…4b13backed AS Roma58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6b…4920backed AS Roma58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eda…8c2bbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ae…954fbacked AS Roma58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9c…6b2fbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebce…b5dcbacked Atlhletic Bilbao42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ed…27e3backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bb…5357backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…0de0backed AS Roma58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…b0c1backed AS Roma58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842b…b585backed Atlhletic Bilbao42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.