Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCSB vs. Lyon, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04f7344574f2c6bf768db656a23eb8bda9d5cb2ca8181cba97cf2cff2ad2d708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lyonof FCSB, Lyon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed FCSB | 1c | 3,051$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked FCSB | 10c | 952.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed FCSB | 23c | 600.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Lyon | 78c | 531.86$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Lyon | 78c | 127.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lyon | 78c | 125.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed FCSB | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed FCSB | 20c | 93.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FCSB | 24c | 75.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lyon | 80c | 62.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…c8ebbacked Lyon | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCSB vs. Lyon, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?this page
- AS Roma vs. Atlhletic Bilbao, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Atlhletic Bilbao won
- AZ Alkmaar vs. Tottenham Hotspur, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Tottenham won
- Ajax vs. Frankfurt, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Frankfurt won
- Bodo Glimt vs. Olympiakos, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Bodo Glimt won
- Fenerbahce vs. Rangers, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Rangers won
- Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Man United won
- Viktoria Plzen vs. Lazio, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.