Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0949a360b70cf927e3e7ec101e99c8a1558065a105fe674bb766b5869e0ea40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Man Unitedof Real Sociedad, Man United
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Real Sociedad | 34c | 2,474$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.59 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Man United | 65c | 1,399$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Man United | 67c | 1,000$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Real Sociedad | 35c | 723.92$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.97 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Man United | 67c | 434.9$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Real Sociedad | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Man United | 53c | 388.89$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Man United | 69c | 369.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Real Sociedad | 33c | 320.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Man United | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 243.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 192$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…c41dbacked Man United | 68c | 168$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f5…ab6bbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 168$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Real Sociedad | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Man United | 64c | 156.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…f39bbacked Man United | 65c | 155.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Man United | 70c | 143.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf59…051bbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 133$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…1034backed Man United | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Real Sociedad | 36c | 127.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Man United | 69c | 114.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…284cbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…71a0backed Man United | 68c | 114$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…8e76backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…4035backed Real Sociedad | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…7e20backed Man United | 67c | 102$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d49…dd8fbacked Man United | 68c | 102$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…d413backed Man United | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b9…33dbbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…92b1backed Man United | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b6…a3b8backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…ac1cbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…03d7backed Real Sociedad | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681c…f8c4backed Man United | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…a1f6backed Man United | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…d55ebacked Man United | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…7751backed Real Sociedad | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf774…d5dfbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…2defbacked Man United | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Real Sociedad | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…2980backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc74…6456backed Man United | 68c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…4b9bbacked Man United | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc9…2260backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…7a47backed Man United | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…7303backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…b59abacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…814cbacked Man United | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Man United | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb264…1f09backed Man United | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…c94ebacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…ff32backed Man United | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59da…e267backed Real Sociedad | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Man United | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…d6b3backed Man United | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…3fd5backed Man United | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…978cbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb667…9374backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…c4dfbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…b45ebacked Man United | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b4…332fbacked Man United | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…73a0backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…1240backed Man United | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked Real Sociedad | 47c | 52.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Real Sociedad | 41c | 51.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Real Sociedad | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…8879backed Man United | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…5839backed Man United | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…0b5bbacked Man United | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…4c77backed Man United | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…c4c2backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…4d07backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…6829backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f052backed Man United | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…dc53backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…e0c9backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Man United | 53c | 47.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Man United | 53c | 47.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…400dbacked Man United | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…aae5backed Man United | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…38acbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…c1f0backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Man United | 59c | 42.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…3fbebacked Real Sociedad | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…39acbacked Man United | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b5…a324backed Real Sociedad | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…e48bbacked Real Sociedad | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…1fafbacked Man United | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…ca32backed Man United | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…2ac8backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…6e59backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…e1b1backed Man United | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c6…f8cabacked Man United | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…f50ebacked Man United | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Man United | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…5c33backed Man United | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…5e4cbacked Man United | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…6f20backed Real Sociedad | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?this page
- AS Roma vs. Atlhletic Bilbao, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Atlhletic Bilbao won
- AZ Alkmaar vs. Tottenham Hotspur, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Tottenham won
- Ajax vs. Frankfurt, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Frankfurt won
- Bodo Glimt vs. Olympiakos, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Bodo Glimt won
- FCSB vs. Lyon, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Lyon won
- Fenerbahce vs. Rangers, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Rangers won
- Viktoria Plzen vs. Lazio, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.