TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x964e…a040backed Yes30c33,827$10,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,148.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf920…0559backed No70c33,827$23,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,148.1366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No75c10,049$7,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.7710055%55 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004833.3%16 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No78c3,407$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.3969634.9%243 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes2c3,220$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.134717%8 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-60.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72015646.8%73 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed No62c1,753$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.78820.5%18 W · 70 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No55c1,447$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.5123149.4%114 W · 117 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes37c1,216$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1999629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes23c1,172$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.676221%13 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3308444%37 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…bfdabacked No54c799.52$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.810056%56 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7830…783fbacked No78c658.55$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.621952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No74c625.42$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6515332.7%50 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb175…236cbacked No75c625$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No78c608.09$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0920446.6%95 W · 109 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78fb…5da0backed Yes52c546.7$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes7c513$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.238020%16 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1085…2d69backed No79c506.12$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.465644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No77c500.07$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2611419.3%22 W · 92 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4b…5d71backed Yes26c487.94$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c1…e343backed Yes22c418.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes25c384.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2496319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Yes54c369.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8588…de5ebacked Yes45c363.81$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.712227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No46c361.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3813556.3%76 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes28c357.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1637533.3%125 W · 250 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bb…9473backed Yes8c337$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c336.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.671,1366.3%72 W · 1,064 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes30c296.15$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7211918.5%22 W · 97 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…f3a4backed Yes7c268$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2675…2374backed No62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.18544.7%38 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40af…0aa6backed Yes49c238.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.55633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c8…1da2backed No64c230.6$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.35158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…ad38backed Yes7c222$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2998…b425backed No78c218.18$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd71…d127backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79e7…f41fbacked Yes37c199.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.993917.9%7 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Yes27c186.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.39527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf572…09f2backed Yes35c160.8$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba1…f001backed Yes31c159.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed No63c158.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8611646.6%54 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed No50c149$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.645742.1%24 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes30c148.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4617713%23 W · 154 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0590…256bbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062313%3 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-77.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafbd…432dbacked Yes35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-64.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed No65c139.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.397475.7%56 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes29c139.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1f…aa60backed No75c133.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.573540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes31c127.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40313.2%1 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick18cpaid-91.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Yes45c118.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.484522.2%10 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf422…6743backed Yes44c114.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504119.5%8 W · 33 L-6.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-48.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed No55c107.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.769160.4%55 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes35c105$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379810.2%10 W · 88 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a31…c1cebacked No68c103.13$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683b…ac8ebacked Yes38c103.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No80c102.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.761,07335.5%381 W · 692 L-70.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed No50c100.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.377562.7%47 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296124.6%15 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c7…de48backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+463.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…d918backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227432.4%24 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312533.6%42 W · 83 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232847.7%22 W · 262 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…63e0backed No75c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed No55c86.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911950.4%60 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37b5…6a23backed Yes41c86.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.881816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd6d…3141backed No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes53c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6828636.7%105 W · 181 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No79c63.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed No61c59.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2311940.3%48 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x793f…4ee5backed No60c58.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.415673.2%41 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ae…cc7cbacked Yes30c56.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-79.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed No76c55.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56346%29 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ab…da59backed Yes48c51.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-83.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee8b…6436backed No78c51.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa553…ca3cbacked Yes40c50.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-71.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xebee…8fcabacked Yes44c50.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes24c50.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.17119.7%14 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-60.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9961…adcbbacked No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89de…08eebacked Yes48c41.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-81.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x35ed…acf1backed Yes34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5770…bafcbacked No80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…c0cdbacked No52c39.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa15b…30f1backed No74c38.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.054139%16 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db8…ed19backed No65c37.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.131855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfea2…b797backed No72c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9b2…4e0cbacked No72c33.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.433551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cf…1f03backed No61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.794928.6%14 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes39c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4817021.2%36 W · 134 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7576…f961backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed No70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1213167.9%89 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed No64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa568…12f6backed No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4c…b9cdbacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.29557.9%55 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb41b…6f80backed No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2884…d0c3backed No70c19.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.931471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.