Us Politics · resolved market
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x357bea56adb8a468f2a2b3067257b7756225bfeeeb14f789fbe62f99e5334fc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x964e…a040backed Yes | 30c | 33,827$10,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,148.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…0559backed No | 70c | 33,827$23,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,148.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 75c | 10,049$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.77 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 3,407$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.39 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 2c | 3,220$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 62c | 1,753$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.7 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 55c | 1,447$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.51 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 1,216$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.19 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 23c | 1,172$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 54c | 799.52$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked No | 78c | 658.55$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 74c | 625.42$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…236cbacked No | 75c | 625$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 78c | 608.09$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…5da0backed Yes | 52c | 546.7$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 7c | 513$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed No | 79c | 506.12$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 77c | 500.07$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…5d71backed Yes | 26c | 487.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…e343backed Yes | 22c | 418.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 384.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Yes | 54c | 369.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 45c | 363.81$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 46c | 361.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.38 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 28c | 357.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed Yes | 8c | 337$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 336.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 30c | 296.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…f3a4backed Yes | 7c | 268$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…0aa6backed Yes | 49c | 238.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 64c | 230.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…ad38backed Yes | 7c | 222$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2998…b425backed No | 78c | 218.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…f41fbacked Yes | 37c | 199.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 27c | 186.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 35c | 160.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…f001backed Yes | 31c | 159.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 63c | 158.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 50c | 149$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 30c | 148.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…256bbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…432dbacked Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 65c | 139.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 29c | 139.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed No | 75c | 133.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 31c | 127.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 45c | 118.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6743backed Yes | 44c | 114.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 55c | 107.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…c1cebacked No | 68c | 103.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…ac8ebacked Yes | 38c | 103.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 102.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 50c | 100.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +463.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…63e0backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 55c | 86.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…6a23backed Yes | 41c | 86.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…3141backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…9629backed No | 79c | 63.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 61c | 59.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 60c | 58.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…cc7cbacked Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 76c | 55.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…da59backed Yes | 48c | 51.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…6436backed No | 78c | 51.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ca3cbacked Yes | 40c | 50.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…8fcabacked Yes | 44c | 50.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 24c | 50.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…08eebacked Yes | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35ed…acf1backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…bafcbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked No | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 74c | 38.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed No | 65c | 37.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked No | 72c | 33.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…f961backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…b9cdbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…6f80backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 70c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.