Us Politics · resolved market

Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2303aaec30110b7e5ed785a4d6bd0a5e4bc2336e69d1bcb61890b4cf6a447255

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,654 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd1ac…08d5backed No	53c	12,818$6,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,735.94	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes	38c	12,303$4,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,668.4	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed No	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.99	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb005…1c3ebacked Yes	67c	2,991$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.24	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No	59c	2,162$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.94	100	55%55 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	69c	1,684$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.23	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed No	43c	1,580$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.08	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No	19c	1,492$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.74	385	9.4%36 W · 349 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ed…acf1backed Yes	60c	1,389$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.64	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No	64c	1,335$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.01	176	33%58 W · 118 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75f…edafbacked Yes	60c	1,087$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.45	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes	74c	1,013$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.02	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-34%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	55c	1,011$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.95	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed No	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	284	7.7%22 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc970…b063backed Yes	54c	991.63$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1fe…1779backed Yes	69c	840.36$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.52	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes	44c	829.93$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.45	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9d3…17abbacked Yes	66c	759.26$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.26	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	65cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed No	40c	721.22$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.49	151	55%83 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No	67c	653.76$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.15	236	39.4%93 W · 143 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x758a…4893backed Yes	44c	644.36$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.5	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	25c	623.13$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.23	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x863f…8775backed No	33c	499.99$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+47%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes	51c	433.49$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.49	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No	36c	424.53$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.99	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d7…73a1backed No	34c	400$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed No	62c	373$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.06	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes	58c	321.52$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.61	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed Yes	57c	305.54$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.77	75	62.7%47 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	412	38.8%160 W · 252 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf70…d4a0backed Yes	65c	292.85$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.85	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	26c	269.76$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.71	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	54c	261$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.65	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed No	35c	230.2$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.11	119	18.5%22 W · 97 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	71c	228$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.17	175	44.6%78 W · 97 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd653…ba9abacked No	46c	220$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.91	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes	79c	205$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.15	141	35.5%50 W · 91 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcd…2107backed Yes	20c	203.3$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.43	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	24cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…d918backed Yes	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.2	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x461a…4030backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…79d0backed No	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-6.0wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcab3…4288backed Yes	27c	185.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.37	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+146.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bae…2e92backed Yes	25c	182.49$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.92	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No	56c	180$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	375	33.3%125 W · 250 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…0359backed Yes	46c	178.52$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d31…cb04backed Yes	29c	155.17$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.17	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No	54c	144$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.07	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe461…9a34backed Yes	66c	133.27$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.31	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6d…3141backed No	39c	128.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	27c	125$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.5	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb03b…62e0backed No	41c	121.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes	41c	115$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.85	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4298…f07dbacked Yes	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2675…2374backed Yes	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+21%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55a1…91eebacked No	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	395	22.8%90 W · 305 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Yes	43c	93.02$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.02	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	32c	86.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e1…30dcbacked Yes	59c	86$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2998…b425backed No	60c	78.71$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.23	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62c…f445backed Yes	64c	77.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.65	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ad…f321backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.92	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5725…36e3backed Yes	63c	71.28$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa344…8141backed Yes	57c	67.44$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3132…a6b8backed No	62c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3d…615ebacked No	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.07	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0516…b98ebacked Yes	38c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b9…f7a6backed No	38c	57.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72da…e2b1backed Yes	27c	55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ca…9c0abacked Yes	28c	54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.06	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	33cpaid	+193.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes	47c	52.94$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.94	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27af…6ec8backed Yes	25c	50$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c1…054cbacked Yes	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767b…8e36backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c9…a55cbacked Yes	65c	48.45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed No	36c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	170	21.2%36 W · 134 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…f825backed No	38c	39.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Yes	69c	38.98$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x108f…56acbacked Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x409e…6458backed Yes	64c	33.36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.88	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3eb…0829backed Yes	46c	32.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.54	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked No	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a67…a78ebacked Yes	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcd…df2abacked Yes	51c	29.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.39	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…2941backed No	48c	26.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebee…8fcabacked Yes	64c	23.38$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.38	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	74c	23.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecac…204dbacked Yes	73c	20.15$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8588…de5ebacked Yes	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed No	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe69b…f24fbacked Yes	57c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea41…1c98backed Yes	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8f…f9e9backed Yes	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42c…f70dbacked Yes	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e1b…5391backed Yes	73c	15.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.09	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?this page
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event