Us Politics · resolved market
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eea74e5f882260097cdf0cfc61af03865630560d2942df24d57aed4d679dddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 36c | 22,893$8,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,558.28 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 75c | 20,803$15,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,529.58 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 11c | 10,014$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,890.21 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 47c | 7,235$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.89 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…ba51backed Yes | 73c | 5,486$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 40c | 5,242$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.27 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed No | 27c | 4,882$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 59c | 4,406$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 29c | 4,328$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 24c | 4,237$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.81 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 54c | 4,209$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.76 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 20c | 4,018$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.25 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 35c | 3,904$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.84 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 2c | 2,885$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 66c | 2,777$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.91 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 49c | 2,712$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.56 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…1a76backed Yes | 15c | 2,342$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 2c | 2,111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 39c | 2,076$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.79 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 43c | 1,906$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.65 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 44c | 1,879$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.71 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 63c | 1,713$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.62 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 56c | 1,624$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.47 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 26c | 1,571$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.19 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 54c | 1,559$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.2 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…17dabacked Yes | 59c | 1,517$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…007ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,462$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 68c | 1,426$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed No | 53c | 1,329$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.88 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 29c | 1,292$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.46 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Yes | 68c | 1,218$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 53c | 1,200$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.66 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 32c | 1,146$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.24 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 37c | 1,143$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,104$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 56c | 1,031$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.74 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3899…452ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 25c | 999.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 37c | 994.64$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.48 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 73c | 972.82$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 33c | 920.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c6…c9f9backed Yes | 23c | 875.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed Yes | 66c | 800.23$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 71c | 766.28$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 61c | 742.76$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.94 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 60c | 720$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed Yes | 8c | 665$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 58c | 658.61$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 9c | 621.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 575.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed Yes | 75c | 570.73$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 29c | 532.78$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.6 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked No | 59c | 530.55$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 42c | 523.68$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.46 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 57c | 515.57$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.13 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 29c | 502.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed No | 75c | 500$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…c7c1backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 13c | 498.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.57 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed Yes | 73c | 498.49$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…e8aebacked No | 40c | 490.8$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed Yes | 63c | 480.01$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 21c | 434.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.33 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 31c | 412.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x409e…6458backed No | 28c | 404.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 39c | 390$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 41c | 389.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 58c | 384.28$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…44d8backed Yes | 70c | 369.16$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…d285backed Yes | 69c | 364.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…d32ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 50c | 328$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 75c | 326.27$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…d4a0backed No | 31c | 319.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 40c | 316.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 20c | 308$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 75c | 292.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640c…d173backed No | 32c | 291.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…a6a2backed Yes | 64c | 280$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 27c | 253.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 11c | 250$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.38 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…9114backed No | 43c | 244.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…2621backed Yes | 9c | 239$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 28c | 235.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 234.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 69c | 233.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 25c | 222.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 28c | 217$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…6a23backed Yes | 71c | 212.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 67c | 207.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…abc3backed Yes | 10c | 206.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.