TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,295 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe75f…edafbacked Yes69c235.77$162 inWon+$73.376246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes52c216.41$113 inWon+$103.786346%29 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed No56c195.62$110 inLost-$110.4911950.4%60 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked No66c152.13$100 inLost-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked No60c140$83 inLost-$83.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked Yes41c121$50 inWon+$71.517238.4%66 W · 106 L-14.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Yes44c112.78$50 inWon+$62.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf70…d4a0backed Yes40c109.63$44 inWon+$65.241266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No55c100$55 inLost-$5569634.9%243 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No61c96.25$59 inLost-$58.7123639.4%93 W · 143 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes46c87.86$40 inWon+$47.865733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6d…3141backed No63c79.37$50 inLost-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes41c74.05$30 inWon+$43.9699629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed No20c70.17$14 inLost-$14.0511918.5%22 W · 97 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes75c65.45$49 inWon+$16.0632626.4%86 W · 240 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes20c65.33$13 inWon+$52.264833.3%16 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No48c50$24 inLost-$246349.2%31 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes39c42$16 inWon+$25.831,07335.5%381 W · 692 L-70.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbee7…ee01backed No62c40$25 inLost-$24.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa505…b899backed No62c40$25 inLost-$24.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No59c20$12 inLost-$11.73360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.