Us Politics · resolved market

Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d7cb1574cc12eb73c2f5b24fa0b72f3ef9a38f87ec8f090832b4fe7ba72489

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $277,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $285,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,816 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x116f…2737backed Yes	16c	80,000$12,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,800	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+182.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	59c	6,312$3,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,599.2	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-9.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	70c	5,438$3,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,611.75	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No	68c	3,827$2,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,239.11	100	55%55 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No	70c	3,681$2,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.09	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed No	52c	3,365$1,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,602.42	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No	59c	3,057$1,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.09	231	49.4%114 W · 117 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ed…acf1backed Yes	39c	2,874$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.8	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0103…067bbacked Yes	17c	2,499$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.41	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes	40c	2,305$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.43	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce86…c0cebacked Yes	35c	2,280$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.91	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No	69c	2,029$1,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.03	176	33%58 W · 118 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes	59c	1,931$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.03	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked No	59c	1,764$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.89	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked No	63c	1,598$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.66	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1085…2d69backed No	52c	1,422$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.71	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x534b…b321backed Yes	54c	1,400$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.99	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	41c	1,314$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.5	375	33.3%125 W · 250 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1fe…1779backed No	62c	1,298$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.47	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes	41c	1,279$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.5	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Yes	45c	1,253$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.36	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	41c	1,210$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.47	236	39.4%93 W · 143 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed No	54c	1,205$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.9	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes	43c	1,168$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	33c	1,139$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.05	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3244…43bebacked Yes	38c	1,015$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No	65c	1,000$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.65	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4451…c6afbacked Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No	64c	999.99$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.99	184	45.1%83 W · 101 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No	42c	976.55$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.44	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x663b…a9c5backed Yes	41c	873$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.93	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+37%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes	24c	830.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x770e…7640backed Yes	44c	826.65$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.47	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-84%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x409e…6458backed Yes	48c	824.34$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.88	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Yes	47c	807.4$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.52	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf572…09f2backed Yes	6c	801.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d7…6977backed Yes	28c	749.52$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.08	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes	21c	745.2$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.88	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes	11c	689.08$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.64	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8b…7677backed Yes	43c	671.01$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.66	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-40%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No	56c	647.59$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.94	114	19.3%22 W · 92 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b7…486cbacked Yes	2c	647.55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes	21c	632.42$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.75	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	18cpaid	-91.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf937…f192backed Yes	4c	616$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2675…2374backed Yes	39c	605.43$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.96	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+21%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed No	65c	604.38$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.97	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed No	74c	600$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1de9…be76backed Yes	55c	564.61$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…4525backed No	75c	561$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.62	144	60.4%87 W · 57 L	+16.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+24%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes	54c	543.4$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.68	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No	67c	532.6$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.38	153	32.7%50 W · 103 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	65c	501.91$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177	204	46.6%95 W · 109 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x202b…971abacked Yes	50c	500.12$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed No	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed No	56c	499.97$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.99	119	50.4%60 W · 59 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Yes	22c	459.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefc6…c974backed Yes	44c	456.35$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed No	58c	430$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.5	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99c6…c9f9backed Yes	19c	420.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e0…1f91backed No	56c	409.24$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked No	50c	385.39$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.04	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes	44c	385.09$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.74	119	18.5%22 W · 97 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e9…de83backed Yes	59c	380$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.4	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeee…0aa1backed Yes	79c	359.81$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.79per pick	79cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…d918backed Yes	20c	346.84$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.05	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed No	70c	333$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.9	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b8…c81fbacked Yes	38c	326.06$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37b5…6a23backed Yes	55c	324.57$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.5	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1add…d2afbacked Yes	43c	305.73$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed No	56c	302.5$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.54	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	+8.8wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x567f…6a22backed No	61c	300.42$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.74	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed9a…a87bbacked Yes	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa414…d03dbacked No	31c	287.37$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.37	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	11c	265.6$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes	38c	265.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbe0…bf14backed No	76c	263.42$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.42	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes	70c	260.44$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.48	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	44c	260$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.31	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked No	79c	252.92$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.11	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d29…e13bbacked Yes	49c	238.52$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x516d…03e5backed Yes	38c	230$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.9	152	38.8%59 W · 93 L	-13.5wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb33…c119backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+113.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5da1…980bbacked No	55c	220$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	37c	219.8$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.44	567	33.2%188 W · 379 L	-40.9wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe450…79d9backed Yes	45c	218.58$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.33	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	72c	209.99$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.25	175	44.6%78 W · 97 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c1…e343backed Yes	60c	209.98$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	48c	209.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe266…add3backed Yes	44c	206.85$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c86…d153backed No	58c	201$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.42	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c40…09a6backed No	60c	200.1$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed No	60c	200$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	135	25.9%35 W · 100 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb169…b67abacked Yes	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x729a…c966backed No	62c	200$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8948…28d5backed Yes	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf97b…d61dbacked Yes	41c	199.45$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.47	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	59c	196.29$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.24	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5434…41e0backed Yes	60c	189.06$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed No	20c	186.8$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.04	284	7.7%22 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213e…5e0fbacked No	54c	186.04$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.96	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?this page
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event