Us Politics · resolved market
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefbe77bc3313558e7db64f35afbb65ea049d313a9de0eb4bbcf6b8f5244b33ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 79c | 10,818$8,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.93 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed Yes | 21c | 4,599$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 6c | 3,685$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 70c | 2,843$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.36 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 34c | 2,523$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 15c | 2,139$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.28 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,920$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,831$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 70c | 1,600$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.18 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 71c | 1,458$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.75 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 75c | 1,284$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.62 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 41c | 1,229$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.69 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d01…1708backed Yes | 16c | 1,002$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2c…3544backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 21c | 915.52$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 22c | 886$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…9df8backed No | 67c | 849.86$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…cab6backed Yes | 2c | 849.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2118…29e3backed Yes | 5c | 842$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed No | 70c | 749.35$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 27c | 574.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…9549backed Yes | 35c | 569.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 9c | 528.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 16c | 499.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e8…171ebacked Yes | 5c | 493$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…e3f4backed Yes | 5c | 411$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…ed38backed No | 75c | 410.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 74c | 377.33$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…5d71backed Yes | 28c | 352.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ded…4c43backed Yes | 6c | 337.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…cf5abacked Yes | 20c | 309.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…e6fdbacked Yes | 4c | 305$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…cf55backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…05c6backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…49fdbacked Yes | 6c | 287$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed No | 75c | 280.8$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…b251backed Yes | 29c | 274.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…c8cbbacked Yes | 5c | 274$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 37c | 272.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f5…cb92backed Yes | 5c | 263$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…abbfbacked Yes | 6c | 260.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…11dabacked Yes | 5c | 257$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…a66ebacked Yes | 4c | 248$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…b037backed Yes | 5c | 243$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…7551backed Yes | 6c | 241$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 22c | 236.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…a4d7backed Yes | 6c | 232$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…1113backed Yes | 25c | 210.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…2999backed Yes | 5c | 208$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…8cf9backed Yes | 27c | 202.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…b4c5backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…f41fbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 28c | 179.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…8acebacked Yes | 6c | 175$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33d…f348backed Yes | 10c | 169.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 167.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed No | 59c | 163.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…cc7cbacked Yes | 22c | 157.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…c15bbacked Yes | 15c | 155.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…df2abacked Yes | 15c | 142.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 74c | 132.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…0a82backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…3f1fbacked Yes | 23c | 107.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…6d79backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…0070backed Yes | 20c | 101.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…90f3backed Yes | 37c | 95.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…da59backed Yes | 47c | 95.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 20c | 94.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 90.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…5e10backed Yes | 18c | 82.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…52ddbacked Yes | 31c | 81.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…5602backed Yes | 21c | 81.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 80.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Yes | 25c | 78.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 70c | 70.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…3141backed No | 72c | 69.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…16f6backed No | 73c | 68.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 79c | 68.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…595cbacked No | 74c | 58.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…95aabacked Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…8e36backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…91eebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed No | 80c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0538…40f3backed Yes | 38c | 49.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ca3cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed Yes | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa505…b899backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.