Us Politics · resolved market

Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6571a94807018a6a3eef609970519b98a401219ec508d98c01474a08da3c014d

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $561,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $577,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf1bb…5a78backed No	43c	92,118$39,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,507.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…509cbacked Yes	57c	92,118$52,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,507.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8b…e496backed Yes	36c	55,856$20,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,108.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59df…81bdbacked No	64c	55,856$35,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,108.16	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	63c	10,462$6,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,824.45	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No	51c	9,296$4,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,575.81	114	19.3%22 W · 92 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes	55c	8,240$4,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,531.99	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	12c	7,640$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.2	129	10.9%14 W · 115 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed No	40c	7,488$3,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,483.77	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No	47c	6,846$3,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,639.69	100	55%55 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0103…067bbacked Yes	33c	6,510$2,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140.94	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes	61c	6,208$3,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,773.46	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	52c	5,610$2,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,932.1	375	33.3%125 W · 250 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No	47c	5,415$2,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,869.75	231	49.4%114 W · 117 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce86…c0cebacked Yes	62c	5,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,099.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed No	44c	4,995$2,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,790.15	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	+8.8wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8152…bfdabacked No	62c	4,967$3,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,881.04	100	56%56 W · 44 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1085…2d69backed No	65c	4,684$3,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,622.03	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked No	42c	4,569$1,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,648.65	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe352…f259backed Yes	19c	4,166$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.42	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked No	61c	3,971$2,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534.31	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23ce…17dabacked Yes	61c	3,349$2,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,044.55	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No	53c	3,260$1,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,546.77	141	35.5%50 W · 91 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed No	50c	3,025$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.2	216	34.3%74 W · 142 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	2c	2,964$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.23	47	17%8 W · 39 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…f412backed No	63c	2,869$1,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.67	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	52c	2,772$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.07	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Yes	61c	2,700$1,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,653	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes	43c	2,540$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.39	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa970…d60dbacked No	74c	2,463$1,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.32	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+236.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbbd…eec1backed Yes	61c	2,440$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked No	43c	2,350$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345.91	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,321$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.85	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No	38c	2,301$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.73	385	9.4%36 W · 349 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes	58c	2,231$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b6…3cffbacked No	61c	2,222$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.05	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked No	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.22	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1da…8f6abacked Yes	62c	2,144$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.32	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Yes	67c	2,000$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	64cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b6…3f0ebacked No	70c	1,930$1,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.34	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef43…7b62backed Yes	54c	1,899$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.42	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.14per pick	21cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64a2…93f0backed No	59c	1,857$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.69	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes	61c	1,855$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.35	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-9.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1fe…1779backed No	46c	1,818$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.21	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed No	40c	1,754$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,052.54	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No	62c	1,719$1,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.18	176	33%58 W · 118 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	38c	1,695$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.65	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5724…73e5backed No	65c	1,250$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.24	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No	49c	1,244$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.98	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed No	50c	1,213$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.45	156	46.8%73 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	53c	1,156$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.55	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes	44c	1,144$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No	53c	1,098$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.5	153	32.7%50 W · 103 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes	52c	1,061$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef5…1a76backed Yes	36c	1,021$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.93	12	25%3 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No	60c	1,011$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.57	236	39.4%93 W · 143 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No	50c	1,007$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.5	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked No	49c	1,004$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.37	113	36.3%41 W · 72 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d31…cb04backed Yes	46c	1,000$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.48	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No	45c	1,000$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.5	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2c…3544backed Yes	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac1…154bbacked No	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4451…c6afbacked Yes	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes	6c	999.98$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.61	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3899…452ebacked Yes	62c	999.85$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.91	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	45cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed No	40c	992.25$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.61	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18fc…2f91backed No	79c	963.75$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c1…abc6backed Yes	42c	962.86$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes	60c	944$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.4	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No	37c	932.98$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.43	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x055c…e4adbacked No	50c	931.14$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.58	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed No	64c	918.86$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.17	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd71…d127backed No	56c	866.36$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.7	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed No	45c	795.98$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.62	119	50.4%60 W · 59 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe659…4f92backed Yes	52c	750$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…3674backed Yes	54c	734.52$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed No	44c	726.45$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.75	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3421…5cafbacked No	58c	726.18$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.64	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bab…e6a2backed No	75c	725.09$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	38c	637.51$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.15	412	38.8%160 W · 252 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9513…a6a2backed Yes	60c	622.32$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.28	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23b8…c81fbacked Yes	33c	608.85$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea15…c292backed Yes	63c	600$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-4.4wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	57c	599.99$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	204	46.6%95 W · 109 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0347…e0e5backed Yes	50c	597.8$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1726…9fc2backed Yes	38c	594.1$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.16	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes	59c	592.8$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.4	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc1b…9397backed Yes	35c	572.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	20cpaid	+86.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeafb…e9b3backed Yes	69c	569.17$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	13c	564.23$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.16	110	31.8%35 W · 75 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b99…d1aabacked Yes	33c	563.39$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.66	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8588…de5ebacked Yes	67c	549.88$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.34	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Yes	58c	549$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.38	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked No	46c	538.78$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.94	180	33.3%60 W · 120 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed No	52c	529.44$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.66	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…d918backed Yes	54c	511.09$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.46	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb869…c4c6backed No	53c	501.46$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.89	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	49c	500$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…1943backed Yes	52c	474.58$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…6a23backed Yes	55c	472.01$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.6	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?this page
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No won
Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event