Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ec42621b8c62c090f2b6da7a21b9f70bcdc616a73d00fa8b275bff6261c475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116f…2737backed Yes | 14c | 84,800$11,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,928 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +182.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed No | 78c | 33,949$26,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,358.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c2…7a21backed Yes | 25c | 32,602$8,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,354.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 24c | 30,418$7,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,091.55 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 51c | 4,765$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.15 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 79c | 4,317$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.65 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…6150backed Yes | 12c | 2,823$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +706.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 23c | 2,637$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 64c | 2,500$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 12c | 2,079$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.22 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,038$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 10c | 1,630$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.69 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 36c | 1,593$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.88 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…1a76backed Yes | 19c | 1,336$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 18c | 1,329$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.3 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 12c | 1,248$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.62 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…d4a0backed Yes | 21c | 1,213$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…6dbebacked No | 38c | 1,051$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 78c | 961$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…08eebacked No | 6c | 880.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 14c | 857.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.25 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 51c | 845.42$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.85 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 13c | 809.69$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 70c | 800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.58 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 76c | 610$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 10c | 590.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.23 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 17c | 500$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 22c | 460.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.91 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 451.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 61c | 418.72$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 67c | 397.05$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.19 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 13c | 388.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…e8aebacked Yes | 79c | 382.02$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…a56dbacked Yes | 19c | 352.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 339.83$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 80c | 310$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 23c | 296.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.31 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 15c | 243.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Yes | 15c | 226.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 11c | 197.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 15c | 185.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 179.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…c119backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 177.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 61c | 171.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…ee65backed Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 13c | 160$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…1b02backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…f9e9backed Yes | 27c | 149.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed No | 76c | 137.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 13c | 125$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 78c | 124$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 65c | 112.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…884cbacked Yes | 34c | 109.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…c9e7backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…0a82backed No | 55c | 90.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4323…d683backed No | 75c | 81.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ca…9c0abacked Yes | 13c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…51a1backed No | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ee…8836backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ca3cbacked No | 29c | 69.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 26c | 63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…6d79backed Yes | 40c | 54.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked No | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…8401backed No | 66c | 45.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b9…f7a6backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5725…36e3backed Yes | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3f…4439backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd982…214cbacked No | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…eaabbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…d109backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.