Us Politics · resolved market
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520b6e3e6882444008075298e2213c37b2f0398f6503fa005fd88e3bd2db7f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc1…6217backed No | 56c | 120,210$67,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,892.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…764bbacked Yes | 44c | 120,210$52,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,892.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…d1b0backed No | 59c | 99,106$58,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,633.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…445fbacked Yes | 41c | 99,106$40,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,633.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 1c | 2,890$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 1,779$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.83 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…ba51backed Yes | 76c | 1,776$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed Yes | 38c | 1,361$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 15c | 1,290$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 60c | 900.93$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…baeebacked Yes | 4c | 737$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 699.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 64c | 592.57$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 24c | 579.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed No | 78c | 517.88$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 61c | 486.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked No | 58c | 428.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 21c | 400$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 4c | 334.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed No | 60c | 311.15$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…f4aabacked Yes | 4c | 308$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 56c | 306.46$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes | 39c | 294.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…7d96backed Yes | 4c | 292$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ee61backed Yes | 26c | 288.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 33c | 281.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…3ad6backed Yes | 4c | 274$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…8665backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed No | 63c | 259.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…884cbacked Yes | 43c | 258.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 40c | 248.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 59c | 197.15$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed No | 76c | 177.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 26c | 167.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 66c | 165.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes | 65c | 154.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 37c | 133.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…e0f3backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…f41fbacked Yes | 28c | 129.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 40c | 124.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 51c | 110.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 46c | 108.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…1b02backed Yes | 53c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 50c | 103.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…a5afbacked Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed Yes | 38c | 97.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fd…e674backed No | 40c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 47c | 92.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed No | 76c | 89.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…d786backed Yes | 45c | 88.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 34c | 81.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 75.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 55c | 72.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…41c5backed No | 37c | 70.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…ccb9backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…6436backed No | 78c | 63.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 60c | 62.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…d61dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…0451backed Yes | 36c | 56.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 23c | 55.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…fd85backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 24c | 51.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…2c04backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3132…a6b8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…6561backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…0479backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…3fb9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…b98ebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4c…7265backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…0861backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 65c | 49.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 48.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…79d9backed Yes | 73c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…0f77backed Yes | 35c | 41.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…f9e9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…5838backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…c439backed Yes | 30c | 37.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…6d79backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a67…a78ebacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 26.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…2df8backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Yes | 39c | 25.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc195…5f72backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 67c | 24.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.