Us Politics · resolved market
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf81008c138f16bb85e8d28c053fa469b5f5760d989c63897d4f62d8145511b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $433,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf6…a3eabacked No | 41c | 67,112$27,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,515.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…aed5backed Yes | 59c | 67,112$39,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,515.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…df79backed No | 76c | 51,000$38,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,760 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…2737backed Yes | 24c | 51,000$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,760 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +182.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…67f2backed No | 23c | 36,480$8,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,390.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…484ebacked Yes | 77c | 36,480$28,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 1c | 11,633$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…007ebacked No | 0c | 11,143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 10,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 47c | 9,678$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.26 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 53c | 5,027$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.12 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 4,582$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…ba8abacked No | 1c | 4,472$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 11c | 4,313$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.33 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,824$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 51c | 2,525$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.4 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 44c | 2,093$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.72 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 49c | 2,060$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.09 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 46c | 1,900$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.7 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 38c | 1,834$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.58 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…c324backed Yes | 54c | 1,821$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x409e…6458backed Yes | 79c | 1,669$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 61c | 1,494$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.52 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,470$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Yes | 62c | 1,351$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,329$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,294$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 25c | 1,242$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.37 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 29c | 1,015$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ed…acf1backed Yes | 78c | 1,005$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 14c | 1,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 29c | 849.22$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 26c | 705.12$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 60c | 698.89$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.81 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…41e0backed Yes | 79c | 644.4$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…17abbacked Yes | 78c | 638.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 13c | 626.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…2da9backed No | 8c | 610.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 45c | 600$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 56c | 515.23$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.05 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 78c | 501.55$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes | 54c | 456.72$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 75c | 423.17$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…8d31backed Yes | 78c | 423$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 45c | 377.79$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked No | 43c | 342.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 59c | 308.87$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9a…a87bbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed No | 42c | 294.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 51c | 293$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…7f3dbacked Yes | 77c | 282.07$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 27c | 269.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…17dabacked Yes | 79c | 262.26$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Yes | 38c | 261.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…44d8backed Yes | 38c | 260.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 14c | 249.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…bbb8backed No | 9c | 249.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 65c | 240$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…cdcebacked No | 10c | 228.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 26c | 220.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 66c | 212.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…3141backed No | 25c | 202.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…b984backed No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…4e7fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…7e17backed Yes | 38c | 171.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked Yes | 68c | 170.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…6ec8backed Yes | 26c | 170$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 62c | 162$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 26c | 158.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 45c | 152.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 24c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…af5fbacked Yes | 70c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…c9e7backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b5…6950backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640c…d173backed Yes | 76c | 134.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 24c | 133$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…ee65backed No | 46c | 130.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…1b02backed Yes | 58c | 130$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 128.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ec…032fbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 21c | 128.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 69c | 128$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…02c9backed No | 39c | 126.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 69c | 124.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 33c | 123.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 55c | 118.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will David Copperfield be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.