Us Politics · resolved market
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd088d9bcf26b12cd7f78e551e8c8501ab2c7557dbe4997294671b95e46c4e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $602,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $613,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ca8…dc6dbacked No | 53c | 140,217$74,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,901.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…5f26backed Yes | 47c | 140,217$65,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,901.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…af7ebacked Yes | 32c | 53,488$17,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,116.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…faa5backed No | 68c | 53,488$36,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,116.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 25c | 18,797$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.83 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 44c | 11,082$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,257.72 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 7c | 8,465$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.91 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 62c | 7,552$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.95 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 75c | 7,456$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.23 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 73c | 5,225$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.8 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 60c | 4,719$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.46 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 59c | 4,351$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.79 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 18c | 3,630$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.51 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 35c | 3,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.88 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 2,487$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.56 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 46c | 2,335$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.87 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 7c | 2,300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 2,208$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 51c | 2,208$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.4 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 2,120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 58c | 2,111$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.34 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed No | 76c | 2,098$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,062$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.87 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Yes | 2c | 1,959$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 40c | 1,911$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.88 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…8cb0backed No | 64c | 1,795$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 56c | 1,783$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.94 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 40c | 1,778$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…c2acbacked No | 69c | 1,755$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…c7bcbacked Yes | 60c | 1,669$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…8132backed No | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 62c | 1,598$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 53c | 1,552$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.03 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcecbacked Yes | 60c | 1,506$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 67c | 1,412$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.02 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,361$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…0bb4backed No | 76c | 1,314$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,236$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.05 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,233$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed Yes | 60c | 1,114$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 72c | 1,110$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.22 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked No | 67c | 1,072$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed No | 57c | 1,043$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.37 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 60c | 1,006$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.69 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 75c | 893.99$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 2c | 862$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 64c | 841.53$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.88 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 67c | 829.44$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.81 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 55c | 791.77$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.47 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked No | 63c | 723.12$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 57c | 670$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.6 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 38c | 656$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.54 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 3c | 584$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 22c | 578.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…e2efbacked Yes | 18c | 547.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 541.02$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes | 60c | 501.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 34c | 500.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.59 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 25c | 482.81$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…c697backed Yes | 18c | 430.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed No | 52c | 426.66$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 17c | 426$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed No | 42c | 414.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 68c | 401.41$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 68c | 400$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed No | 35c | 400$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.85 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 68c | 393.14$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…494bbacked Yes | 27c | 375$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 39c | 350$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 61c | 338.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.02 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…5a8fbacked Yes | 71c | 333$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked No | 61c | 333$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 58c | 327$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed Yes | 65c | 310$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 56c | 300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…0307backed No | 73c | 279.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 33c | 272.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…de39backed No | 54c | 254.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 30c | 241$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 43c | 234.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 45c | 221.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 220.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…9afcbacked Yes | 47c | 210.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…f445backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 34c | 201$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…383abacked No | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…4ee0backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 28c | 199.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 40c | 196.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 60c | 195.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?this page
- Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?No won
- Will RFK end Hepatitis B vaccine recommendation in 2025?No won
- Will RFK end Influenza vaccine recommendation in 2025?No won
- Will RFK end Measles Mumps and Rubella vaccine recommendation in 2025?No won
- Will RFK end Polio vaccine recommendation in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.