Movies · resolved market
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb2d4991584268543072eec55c8b8526a0beb1db08f12e17baea84c165a3981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 2,671$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.34 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 43c | 2,011$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.31 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 57c | 1,392$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.13 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 57c | 1,342$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 42c | 1,109$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 70c | 1,075$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 37c | 585.02$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 36c | 556.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed No | 43c | 475.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…18cabacked No | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…0664backed Yes | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 42c | 429.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 42c | 351$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 42c | 350$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Yes | 59c | 304.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 43c | 299$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 56c | 265.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ecdebacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 57c | 244.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…1a98backed Yes | 60c | 242.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1936…e89cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…8621backed Yes | 58c | 172.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…2220backed Yes | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 40c | 138.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 41c | 137.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…fe90backed No | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…062cbacked Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab7…b71ebacked No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…272dbacked Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…ff4cbacked Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…1787backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…9b39backed Yes | 61c | 106.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 57c | 100.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e30…5b79backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…c419backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 42c | 97.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae7…c321backed Yes | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21a…d4f8backed No | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…b2febacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…4a95backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…7aebbacked No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…cb35backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…3ef3backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0c72backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed No | 43c | 76.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 43c | 75.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Yes | 55c | 72.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…a0a2backed Yes | 58c | 67.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…2d8fbacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f76backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…220ebacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…42a3backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…f8eebacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…18afbacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…29c3backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…cf37backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…6dfbbacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…e797backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…3b4fbacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…35f3backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…f28fbacked Yes | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5416…ddafbacked No | 41c | 54.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…bbbebacked Yes | 57c | 54.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…3fabbacked Yes | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…6dd7backed Yes | 59c | 52.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…e5eebacked No | 41c | 52.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…c86dbacked Yes | 58c | 51.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…b675backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…c7fdbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e65…ae80backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…041cbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c46…d1d5backed No | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 47c | 40.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…4bd8backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…bd8ebacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…1ff8backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…715dbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…21d2backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa767…c8fcbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…47b6backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…d945backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…c140backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…e1c8backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "Porcelain War" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Sugarcane" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.