TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,219,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,192,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,219,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8c2…c9c4backed Yes55c134,231$73,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,827.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…dffebacked No45c134,231$60,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,827.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…e224backed No43c102,126$43,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,211.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…c6d1backed Yes57c102,126$58,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,211.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5356…ed53backed Yes46c90,198$41,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,491.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffc…18f3backed No54c90,198$48,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,491.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…ed4dbacked No60c87,314$52,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,925.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…e76ebacked Yes40c87,314$34,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,925.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…a624backed Yes27c39,122$10,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,562.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d56…2400backed No73c39,112$28,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,560.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes1c16,427$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.753336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa810…fd25backed Yes7c16,015$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.142623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No73c15,354$11,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.994459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a1…7c68backed Yes23c10,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.95175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick22cpaid-87.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes16c6,189$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.667821.8%17 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c5,621$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8113910.8%15 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes16c5,349$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.24746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d5…78d1backed Yes11c5,183$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.473246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20651.5%1 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick7cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes15c4,947$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.5412927.9%36 W · 93 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes1c4,329$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57e…95f3backed No57c3,535$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…3038backed Yes8c3,125$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-82.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Yes6c3,008$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…6662backed Yes2c3,004$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd39d…00bcbacked Yes1c2,880$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes53c2,852$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.341428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06ac…79ecbacked No77c2,814$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6572748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes8c2,620$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.779037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c2,589$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes15c2,500$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36910625.5%27 W · 79 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes9c2,387$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9124258.7%142 W · 100 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes6c2,098$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8121426.2%56 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes22c2,000$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.011376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+142.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes7c1,921$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0615125.2%38 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes8c1,762$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.071118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a9…32e3backed Yes1c1,728$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cce…cc4fbacked No41c1,715$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.64540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x037d…887ebacked Yes11c1,707$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-68.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd814…9346backed No70c1,624$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-76.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63af…3de0backed Yes10c1,528$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32be…58dbbacked Yes9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Yes1c1,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5240%0 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked No67c1,411$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.573284.4%27 W · 5 L+9.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+63.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes8c1,273$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.223839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa601…3fc1backed Yes30c1,260$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes24c1,250$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610812%13 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x758c…074abacked Yes12c1,240$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.12213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb32…db85backed Yes9c1,176$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes18c1,106$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1110137.6%38 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7268…0bc4backed Yes1c1,067$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904725.5%12 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick30cpaid+45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a6…7049backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf327…0b68backed Yes9c997.27$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.691618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd44e…67e2backed No45c985.34$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.3414456.9%82 W · 62 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3421…5cafbacked Yes56c963.01$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.440%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes6c850$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518615.1%13 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No44c805.65$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.91729.7%7 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9352…fb67backed Yes7c748.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38cc…f88ebacked Yes56c740$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…8a0cbacked No68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f31…3279backed Yes1c724.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd49…0d55backed Yes13c719.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.474936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6726…eabdbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Yes23c625$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a65…acf4backed Yes9c624.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b9…6048backed No80c604.24$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.614150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No63c587.69$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5141736.2%151 W · 266 L-25.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bdd…8eefbacked Yes2c562.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-78.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffdb…411dbacked Yes7c558.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0670%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes7c546.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.873514.3%5 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick17cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…bfacbacked No34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…5f1abacked No66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes7c497.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48565.4%3 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes7c472.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.996336.5%23 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes25c466$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.55922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-61.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dff…c07ebacked Yes7c449.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…147abacked No67c446.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…693fbacked Yes29c423.34$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.336639.4%26 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes6c399.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44231%13 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81fa…41c9backed No40c379.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…35d5backed Yes18c372.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.358927%24 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-38.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf422…6743backed Yes56c358.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x343d…cd2ebacked No72c350$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975572.7%40 W · 15 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5da1…980bbacked No68c347.06$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.512240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e55…2b2abacked Yes29c343.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.66911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-81.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No76c334.31$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9930837.7%116 W · 192 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2884…d0c3backed No40c311$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.095356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eac…3600backed No59c300$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf485…53ccbacked No34c292.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.571323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes40c283.84$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.899115.4%14 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf789…c4ccbacked No35c276.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b01…b534backed No48c266.37$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.37757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5824…9b7abacked Yes9c260$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a09…2780backed Yes8c248.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No71c248.11$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.825528.2%72 W · 183 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No55c207$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.114045%18 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.