Movies · resolved market
Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050797c278ea0195ab368d882b252d5a53271d957893ed55879c2054adcfbb24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 27,535$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 57c | 5,174$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 73c | 3,447$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,723$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.81 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…53bcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,979$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 30c | 1,750$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 50c | 1,656$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 69c | 1,561$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.56 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 24c | 1,550$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 44c | 1,446$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7611…98e4backed Yes | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 66c | 1,024$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.79 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 47c | 900$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 46c | 703.77$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 37c | 681.12$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.03 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 47c | 670$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.7 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 554.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 57c | 552$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 28c | 530.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 46c | 452$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 29c | 424.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 64c | 390.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 50c | 375.41$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…4f0abacked Yes | 48c | 373.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 54c | 352.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…1a98backed Yes | 39c | 248.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 51c | 239.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…4f0dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…e635backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…f827backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…4a08backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…a776backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…ed5cbacked No | 60c | 184$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 34c | 171$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…dd9ebacked No | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…1d70backed Yes | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…6668backed Yes | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5267…1433backed No | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 66c | 159$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 39c | 152$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 25c | 150.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…5778backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…588bbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…c012backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec99…ae7dbacked No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 60c | 145.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 45c | 144.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…5680backed Yes | 35c | 142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 57c | 135$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…eb12backed Yes | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…2428backed No | 52c | 132$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b9…afeabacked No | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…cdb0backed Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 53c | 121.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c6…f8cabacked Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…aff7backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…bd7cbacked Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…0a7bbacked No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…2916backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…fd58backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954c…6e6bbacked No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…63f1backed No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…3d7ebacked Yes | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 32c | 103.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a5…92afbacked Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 58c | 100.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…c874backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…6c47backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…0634backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…3d3dbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…3179backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…5ef5backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…5a04backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0830…b32fbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…99ccbacked Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…51d0backed No | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb3…1ab0backed No | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…18abbacked Yes | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 57c | 81.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…a64bbacked No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bad…9310backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…5933backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…25cbbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…8862backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes | 44c | 73.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…cf8dbacked Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…a0f8backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…e714backed No | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb159…eac1backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…ae91backed No | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…624abacked No | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…bc7cbacked Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…f654backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…1816backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…c5f6backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "Beautiful Men" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "In the Shadow of the Cypress" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?Yes won
- Will "Magic Candies" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Yuck!" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.