Movies · resolved market
Will "Yuck!" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5905575297f2870e18c10041f3b913f0f232fc16d32bca91e22b21dca634a9df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7611…98e4backed Yes | 46c | 1,098$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Yes | 40c | 455$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 7c | 394$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 53c | 384$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 35c | 317$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 24c | 301$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 66c | 281.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…e75fbacked Yes | 38c | 280$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…8532backed No | 62c | 280$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…d1d3backed Yes | 41c | 250$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 35c | 220.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7330…fb6bbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…e778backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…2b4bbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…06a2backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…b63ebacked No | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8eb…ca5cbacked Yes | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 11c | 188.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed No | 65c | 177.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c65fbacked No | 63c | 170$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…998dbacked Yes | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…f48fbacked Yes | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…c139backed No | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 77c | 161$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…7d91backed No | 60c | 135$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed No | 61c | 132.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 64c | 118.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x638c…6bc9backed No | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…56bbbacked No | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f3…1babbacked Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…4d46backed Yes | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…d8efbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…be62backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6a…8cc2backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…c1d0backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 37c | 99.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 92.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 49c | 90.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 15c | 80.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 61c | 71.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…ad9bbacked No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +243.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7846…2891backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 37c | 67.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…076fbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…1ea9backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8954…b019backed No | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…1cedbacked Yes | 45c | 55.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 35c | 55.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…56a4backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 34c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…3e29backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…bd66backed Yes | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…d6f7backed Yes | 39c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…bc63backed Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…2037backed Yes | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 69c | 41.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…c309backed Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…e608backed Yes | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…5a8bbacked Yes | 37c | 36.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…d597backed Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3501backed Yes | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…425ebacked No | 61c | 31.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 35c | 29.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ce7fbacked No | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…47f0backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…fe08backed No | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…4bf0backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +136%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…2f1cbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…c2b6backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95df…d0ecbacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…1425backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…d2febacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…c812backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…1e4dbacked No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385d…3e32backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd467…573cbacked No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…0791backed No | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…c4bbbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…a1c6backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…f583backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…b340backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…ed48backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…1ab2backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Yuck!" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "Beautiful Men" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "In the Shadow of the Cypress" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?Yes won
- Will "Magic Candies" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.