Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8498bb4d013be50bd4af336c0cadf62ab0f2885cc968b742304d6edccfc7190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $973,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,045,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $973,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6718…80d1backed No | 2c | 63,593$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed No | 1c | 48,329$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.55 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…31f1backed Yes | 63c | 33,654$21,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,451.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…f339backed No | 37c | 33,654$12,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,451.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…1da6backed Yes | 57c | 31,706$18,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,633.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…0ce9backed No | 43c | 31,706$13,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,633.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 79c | 30,691$24,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,406.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 17c | 29,240$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.45 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…a6d6backed Yes | 49c | 24,425$11,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,456.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee4…fb16backed No | 51c | 24,425$12,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,456.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…b3b4backed Yes | 62c | 23,400$14,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,892 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…67dfbacked No | 38c | 23,400$8,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,892 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 1c | 22,725$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 31c | 17,302$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,435.91 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 1c | 11,413$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…603dbacked No | 0c | 11,367$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 72c | 11,042$7,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 42c | 10,484$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.77 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 56c | 9,658$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.22 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 8,690$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 58c | 8,653$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 19c | 7,215$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked No | 14c | 6,739$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 1c | 6,160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 40c | 5,876$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 61c | 5,844$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 35c | 5,073$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.79 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 70c | 4,910$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.94 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 63c | 4,658$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed Yes | 66c | 4,376$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 76c | 4,359$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.62 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 60c | 4,288$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 25c | 4,248$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.46 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 16c | 4,234$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 1c | 4,050$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 38c | 3,913$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.88 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 54c | 3,868$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.39 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 0c | 3,816$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 31c | 3,711$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 1c | 3,661$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 43c | 3,508$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.89 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 41c | 3,474$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.36 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 53c | 3,213$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.44 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 76c | 3,100$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…56afbacked No | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 70c | 2,811$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.76 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…1b3fbacked No | 1c | 2,752$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…ba4abacked No | 33c | 2,673$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked No | 7c | 2,635$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 2,635$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.4 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 48c | 2,555$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 41c | 2,461$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 33c | 2,230$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 40c | 2,203$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.12 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…c9c3backed No | 45c | 2,112$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.49 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…c7b9backed No | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 50c | 1,986$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.53 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed No | 2c | 1,822$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 63c | 1,579$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.6 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 12c | 1,535$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 33c | 1,478$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.56 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked No | 58c | 1,467$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 65c | 1,449$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.77 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,408$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.25 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 69c | 1,407$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.44 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 31c | 1,395$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed No | 33c | 1,329$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 30c | 1,322$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.4 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed No | 38c | 1,321$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 25c | 1,276$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.95 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 1,271$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.7 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed No | 30c | 1,218$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,204$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.12 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 35c | 1,190$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.1 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 60c | 1,149$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.01 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4721…b6d6backed No | 12c | 1,140$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 48c | 1,100$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.68 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 77c | 1,100$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6830…5258backed No | 34c | 1,035$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed No | 38c | 1,016$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 73c | 999.79$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.04 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 78c | 987.51$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 23c | 979.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +239.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked No | 17c | 974.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4716…5b50backed No | 70c | 940.78$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…558fbacked No | 49c | 921.2$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 2c | 911.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 63c | 898.19$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed No | 37c | 821.8$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 61c | 814.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 37c | 812.36$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 776.33$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e56…1825backed No | 43c | 717.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 23c | 674.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 17c | 671.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…f238backed Yes | 64c | 671.06$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…1419backed No | 35c | 655.28$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.