TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes60c5,050$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.941811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes73c3,007$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.551323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed No65c2,609$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes45c1,830$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.9931744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes45c1,249$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.9817448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No51c1,099$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes54c1,075$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.522236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…f360backed Yes30c918.35$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed No44c893.09$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No12c848.06$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick29cpaid+168.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes29c759.22$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.8138445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes42c640.48$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes38c633.97$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.711442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes35c573.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.116613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes36c540.11$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.841241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes45c521.23$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.821,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes35c517.47$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.321833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31525340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes42c452.47$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No53c401.26$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.173339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No73c382.9$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.521,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77b…24abbacked Yes54c371.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes51c361.1$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.854245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No57c345.95$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.45119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes31c335.12$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9765345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b6…5284backed Yes32c315.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe199…56a2backed Yes22c307.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.351050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed No61c278.69$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x138e…42b4backed No48c273.09$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa568…12f6backed Yes46c261.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked No68c255.24$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5613655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed No49c255.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.076940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes32c243.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.554027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes42c236.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3521750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked No55c225.88$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed No54c218.07$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes50c214.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.967652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6eb…51e9backed Yes35c210.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.181225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked No50c206.42$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes43c193.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.53040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes27c192.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+66.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes63c192.9$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.62392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x793f…4ee5backed No53c185.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb6…cd0ebacked No57c180.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd1…bbd7backed Yes47c168.62$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes18c167.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.174240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2617…afc5backed Yes37c163.12$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+68.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked No62c159.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes56c152.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1726547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6b…e5d2backed Yes55c142.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x399f…73a0backed No57c140.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5b…f991backed No57c134.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed No59c131.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes20c131.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe67…dc1cbacked Yes45c127.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes44c124$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.861,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4232…2263backed Yes44c123.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes21c122.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.57633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab1…dbdbbacked No45c118.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No50c116.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1939…5f78backed No65c116.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f3…b37abacked Yes47c114.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd25…4fecbacked No53c113.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0b…2d3dbacked Yes48c111.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a7…2228backed No39c110.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee5…78c9backed No54c108.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab9…3243backed No38c106.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ef…2aa6backed No55c103.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2948…071bbacked Yes47c103.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3986…ef22backed No46c102.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…455dbacked No39c102.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcc…d89abacked Yes49c102.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc709…c296backed No52c100.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ede…4f0abacked No37c99.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+405.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b41…b159backed Yes45c98.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8399…bafdbacked No45c98.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc8…920ebacked No59c97.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf97…55d9backed Yes47c97.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd736…1ca7backed Yes57c95.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62cd…121bbacked No56c95.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a5…cc81backed Yes55c94.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cc…a495backed No61c93.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0a…08bdbacked Yes64c93.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…5650backed No59c92.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec3…68e3backed Yes44c92.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd0…289abacked No53c89.4$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ebf…4efcbacked Yes47c89.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x388c…61bbbacked Yes48c88.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf490…9826backed No50c88.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2340…d87cbacked No46c88.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b2…2d57backed No55c87.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4735…212ebacked No46c87.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab67…64d4backed Yes57c87.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…5431backed Yes45c87.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3e…5538backed Yes50c87.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8212…fe5ebacked Yes48c86.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b24…4bccbacked Yes48c85.47$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…641bbacked No59c85.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…cc5abacked No57c84.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.