TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,584,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,584,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c40,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60220%0 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e7…c43dbacked Yes0c38,578$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…b12dbacked Yes0c31,191$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7af…1641backed Yes0c31,186$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x956c…3f3ebacked Yes0c31,181$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda9…df86backed Yes0c28,083$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c24,337$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.24440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d7…73bcbacked Yes0c18,538$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c17,106$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8212…5ff1backed Yes0c15,860$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af5…6699backed Yes0c15,350$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a5…4f5ebacked Yes0c15,015$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60e…f460backed Yes0c14,444$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276e…86b8backed Yes0c13,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe713…b09fbacked Yes0c13,220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…93d4backed Yes0c12,888$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090c…879bbacked Yes0c12,430$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7796…e397backed Yes0c12,345$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866b…b3c3backed Yes0c12,344$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f6…f8acbacked Yes0c12,222$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b2…f28abacked Yes0c12,110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c7…1973backed Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d52…9d19backed Yes0c11,720$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5a…9db4backed Yes0c11,666$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d05…ec82backed Yes0c11,640$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x337a…3956backed Yes0c11,333$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38cb…21d4backed Yes0c11,258$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x885b…ca28backed Yes0c11,240$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8321…4c67backed Yes0c11,222$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4369…ff7dbacked Yes0c11,170$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dbd…00f6backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6c…b509backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3f…f719backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5237…5268backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc832…38a9backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c25…2117backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…751dbacked Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb7…575fbacked Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc099…9613backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ee…6b08backed Yes0c10,850$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe891…169fbacked Yes0c10,740$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…65b5backed Yes0c10,710$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…cdbabacked Yes0c10,680$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e8…4293backed Yes0c10,666$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd058…a2bdbacked Yes0c10,620$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b7…e52bbacked Yes0c10,556$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb882…f169backed Yes0c10,530$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…b246backed Yes0c10,460$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a4…1e41backed Yes0c10,450$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf027…5bb4backed Yes0c10,290$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fea…75edbacked Yes0c10,160$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f25…121dbacked Yes0c10,150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…31b5backed Yes0c10,111$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc5…e7fcbacked Yes0c10,011$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8445…ede6backed Yes0c10,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d5…890cbacked Yes0c10,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f46…e7c7backed Yes0c10,008$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1818…b968backed Yes0c10,006$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce11…31e6backed Yes0c10,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5d…0a5dbacked Yes0c10,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca3…25b8backed Yes0c10,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb363…dc5dbacked Yes0c10,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0d…9b52backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc541…e6cebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x603e…396cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb310…38debacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x784b…cd01backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6fd…75b9backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fe…4dc3backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6e…ab95backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807a…bd24backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d0…9f40backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c8,944$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.