TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,227,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,227,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c55,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c40,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60220%0 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e7…c43dbacked Yes0c27,600$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c18,565$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c18,481$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.08440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c16,882$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.77530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a5…4f5ebacked Yes0c13,917$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f1…7f97backed Yes0c13,912$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa298…0228backed Yes0c13,666$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf611…3fffbacked Yes0c13,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfe…0146backed Yes0c13,157$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…ac25backed Yes0c13,152$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfd…a242backed Yes0c13,147$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f67…66fdbacked Yes0c13,142$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05fa…b8edbacked Yes0c13,137$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49cd…f544backed Yes0c13,132$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c1…26debacked Yes0c13,127$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0c…a7fabacked Yes0c13,122$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d20…fdbbbacked Yes0c13,117$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…bf9fbacked Yes0c13,112$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b37…babfbacked Yes0c13,107$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc4…5eb9backed Yes0c12,666$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c5…0c39backed Yes0c12,625$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe991…5f05backed Yes0c12,555$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5237…5268backed Yes0c12,222$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5efe…981abacked Yes0c12,222$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791d…eb31backed Yes0c12,122$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9ab0backed Yes0c12,117$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b2…f28abacked Yes0c12,111$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa5…cd36backed Yes0c11,794$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae04…c7b1backed Yes0c11,788$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…9f65backed Yes0c11,666$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7421…5214backed Yes0c11,555$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4f…161cbacked Yes0c11,548$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd9…d1c9backed Yes0c11,333$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa24…c86dbacked Yes0c11,234$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4d…908abacked Yes0c11,222$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd021…097cbacked Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cf…1b93backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebcb…4248backed Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090c…879bbacked Yes0c11,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…cf34backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes0c5,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.