UFC · resolved market
Kape vs. Almabayev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb0b2af48bba7d3791dc43dfcffcdf4a4f83973d3c9b062e0fa6c043faf600aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kapeof Kape, Almabayev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa64…7643backed Almabayev | 32c | 92,118$29,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,477.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…b57ebacked Kape | 68c | 92,118$62,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,477.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kape | 67c | 75,988$51,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,732.25 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Almabayev | 32c | 58,275$18,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,656.26 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Almabayev | 34c | 11,161$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.46 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…3204backed Almabayev | 22c | 5,764$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Almabayev | 34c | 5,133$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Kape | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Almabayev | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Almabayev | 35c | 2,105$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Almabayev | 33c | 1,976$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.17 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Almabayev | 33c | 1,683$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Kape | 65c | 1,508$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Kape | 63c | 1,372$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Kape | 67c | 1,271$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Almabayev | 32c | 1,225$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Kape | 67c | 1,105$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Almabayev | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Almabayev | 33c | 999.89$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.96 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Kape | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Kape | 64c | 862.21$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.15 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kape | 67c | 828.36$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Almabayev | 38c | 790.57$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c7debacked Almabayev | 36c | 781.51$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Kape | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kape | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Kape | 67c | 422.3$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Kape | 66c | 401.14$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…4df2backed Almabayev | 34c | 382.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…47adbacked Almabayev | 33c | 362$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kape | 65c | 313.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Almabayev | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kape | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…e6cdbacked Almabayev | 17c | 298.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…186abacked Almabayev | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Almabayev | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kape | 64c | 270.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Almabayev | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Almabayev | 35c | 228.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Kape | 68c | 221.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155f…a78fbacked Kape | 67c | 221$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…bd0ebacked Almabayev | 33c | 215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…e231backed Almabayev | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…9653backed Kape | 67c | 182$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Almabayev | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Kape | 61c | 172$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…4545backed Kape | 67c | 167$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…896abacked Almabayev | 36c | 154.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Kape | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Kape | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…9938backed Almabayev | 34c | 147.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Kape | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…5546backed Kape | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…e00bbacked Kape | 68c | 146.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Kape | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…6122backed Kape | 69c | 144.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Almabayev | 34c | 139.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Almabayev | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…7cbfbacked Almabayev | 36c | 117.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Kape | 69c | 116$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Almabayev | 34c | 108.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Almabayev | 33c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Kape | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Almabayev | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Almabayev | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Almabayev | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Kape | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Kape | 63c | 98.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Almabayev | 31c | 96.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Almabayev | 33c | 94.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Kape | 68c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Almabayev | 27c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe237…4b89backed Almabayev | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Kape | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…a1e0backed Kape | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…40e1backed Almabayev | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Kape | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Kape | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…e7a9backed Almabayev | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Almabayev | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Almabayev | 34c | 67.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Almabayev | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Kape | 46c | 59.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Almabayev | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ff…dce9backed Almabayev | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…a1c8backed Almabayev | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kape | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…2421backed Almabayev | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9414…83c9backed Almabayev | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367d…06c5backed Almabayev | 26c | 47.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…c9d6backed Almabayev | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8241backed Kape | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…1625backed Almabayev | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…9d7dbacked Almabayev | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…8972backed Almabayev | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…add3backed Almabayev | 34c | 40.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cde…98acbacked Kape | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Almabayev | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…e943backed Kape | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…466fbacked Kape | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kape vs. Almabayevthis page
- Amil vs. GomisAmil won
- Barlow vs. PattersonPatterson won
- Brundage vs. MarquezBrundage won
- Haqparast vs. RibovicsHaqparast won
- Johnson vs. TemirovTemirov won
- Lane vs. PintoPinto won
- Lee vs. AldrichAldrich won
- Ramos vs. MariscalMariscal won
- Silva vs. AlmeidaSliva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.