UFC · resolved market
Amil vs. Gomis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102aa2ba33af5a206ce9558d4e5d9e1e8e07fb63864cc92237801409ea3323fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amilof Amil, Gomis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Amil | 37c | 8,227$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Gomis | 71c | 4,207$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.41 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Gomis | 54c | 3,411$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.94 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Amil | 35c | 2,686$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Gomis | 66c | 2,580$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.1 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Gomis | 68c | 2,478$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.16 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Gomis | 31c | 1,805$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.15 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Amil | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.89 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Gomis | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Gomis | 3c | 809.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Gomis | 71c | 802.68$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Gomis | 68c | 789.9$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.68 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Amil | 33c | 726.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.2 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Amil | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Gomis | 60c | 595$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Amil | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Amil | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Amil | 23c | 415.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.03 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Amil | 35c | 401.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Gomis | 69c | 324.64$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…9938backed Amil | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Amil | 32c | 250$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gomis | 63c | 239.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Amil | 32c | 225$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Amil | 32c | 185$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Amil | 31c | 175$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Gomis | 66c | 137.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Gomis | 55c | 130$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Gomis | 65c | 119.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Amil | 34c | 117$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…4189backed Amil | 32c | 112$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Amil | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…64b7backed Gomis | 68c | 101$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Amil | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Gomis | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Amil | 32c | 63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Amil | 32c | 62.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…3c63backed Amil | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Amil | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…21d1backed Amil | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Amil | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Amil | 33c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Amil | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…4c9fbacked Gomis | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…186abacked Gomis | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…4958backed Gomis | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…a141backed Gomis | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…c7babacked Gomis | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…9b52backed Gomis | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Amil vs. Gomisthis page
- Barlow vs. PattersonPatterson won
- Brundage vs. MarquezBrundage won
- Haqparast vs. RibovicsHaqparast won
- Johnson vs. TemirovTemirov won
- Kape vs. AlmabayevKape won
- Lane vs. PintoPinto won
- Lee vs. AldrichAldrich won
- Ramos vs. MariscalMariscal won
- Silva vs. AlmeidaSliva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.