UFC · resolved market
Haqparast vs. Ribovics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2658273d8ef9f45468bf1b549b217a72ca9dbe7a4f7b4909621f3036dc2fb381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haqparastof Haqparast, Ribovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Haqparast | 29c | 11,687$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Ribovics | 71c | 7,050$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.49 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Ribovics | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Haqparast | 32c | 4,496$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.63 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Ribovics | 67c | 2,375$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.78 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Haqparast | 33c | 1,166$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ribovics | 68c | 1,030$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.4 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Haqparast | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Haqparast | 31c | 984.74$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.33 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ribovics | 69c | 766$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.54 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ribovics | 68c | 662$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.16 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Ribovics | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Ribovics | 70c | 500$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Ribovics | 64c | 500$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Ribovics | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Haqparast | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Ribovics | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Ribovics | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Haqparast | 30c | 387.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Haqparast | 31c | 329.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Haqparast | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Ribovics | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Ribovics | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Haqparast | 29c | 256.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Ribovics | 56c | 247$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Ribovics | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Haqparast | 31c | 191.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Ribovics | 41c | 187.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…4df2backed Ribovics | 62c | 182.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Haqparast | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…9938backed Ribovics | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Ribovics | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…9940backed Haqparast | 30c | 113.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Ribovics | 72c | 111$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Ribovics | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Haqparast | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Ribovics | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Haqparast | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…6d29backed Ribovics | 71c | 92.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Ribovics | 48c | 78.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Ribovics | 66c | 77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Ribovics | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Haqparast | 58c | 69.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Haqparast | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…c0ccbacked Haqparast | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Ribovics | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…107bbacked Haqparast | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…c41ebacked Haqparast | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…7cbfbacked Haqparast | 33c | 42.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Haqparast | 58c | 41.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Ribovics | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed Ribovics | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…186abacked Ribovics | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…4c9fbacked Ribovics | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…921abacked Ribovics | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…1bb0backed Ribovics | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…78eabacked Ribovics | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Ribovics | 69c | 25.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…086abacked Ribovics | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…c2ffbacked Ribovics | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…fcc6backed Ribovics | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Haqparast | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haqparast vs. Ribovicsthis page
- Amil vs. GomisAmil won
- Barlow vs. PattersonPatterson won
- Brundage vs. MarquezBrundage won
- Johnson vs. TemirovTemirov won
- Kape vs. AlmabayevKape won
- Lane vs. PintoPinto won
- Lee vs. AldrichAldrich won
- Ramos vs. MariscalMariscal won
- Silva vs. AlmeidaSliva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.