Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d523e832ec4313d0a67698decd3f809191178fce389fed2283883fec1cc89c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 1c | 9,489$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…2cd2backed Yes | 1c | 7,120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 1c | 4,455$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…9f20backed Yes | 58c | 1,110$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.11 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 858.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 250 | 6%15 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…51cbbacked Yes | 4c | 561.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yes | 55c | 366.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -14.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…072cbacked No | 54c | 314.83$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 17c | 310.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 36c | 297.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…c531backed No | 58c | 252$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…9a1ebacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 55c | 238.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Yes | 21c | 190$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 33c | 182.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 191 | 26.2%50 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…c9e0backed Yes | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…7a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 160.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…aefebacked Yes | 19c | 122$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 22c | 115.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…5602backed Yes | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3114…acd6backed Yes | 56c | 100.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…2ae5backed No | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…fc3fbacked Yes | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…607cbacked Yes | 21c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4623…42ffbacked No | 74c | 91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333c…20f6backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a4…fdeabacked No | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9457…3ac1backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 40c | 77.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 602 | 35.7%215 W · 387 L | +41.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…6666backed Yes | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…005fbacked No | 64c | 73.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 600 | 33.8%203 W · 397 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 27c | 70.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca8…0538backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…1e4bbacked Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…f322backed No | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…f5e9backed Yes | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…a768backed Yes | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes | 48c | 60.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…454ebacked Yes | 31c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…bc10backed Yes | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…1ffcbacked Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…eae9backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452e…ecbdbacked No | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeced…0d50backed No | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…5b5fbacked Yes | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af0…5b7abacked Yes | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…2fb7backed No | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…50e0backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x647b…13f1backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…6a9dbacked Yes | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…d9babacked Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…51a7backed Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…7a86backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…d7c0backed Yes | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…ca2cbacked Yes | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cc82backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2d…ced6backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…f271backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…ca65backed Yes | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d4…2aa7backed Yes | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…ccdbbacked Yes | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5417…cc57backed No | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4252backed Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…938abacked Yes | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…c012backed Yes | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…fb22backed No | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9c…fd40backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d36…f2a0backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…a73abacked No | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…ca15backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…a272backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061b…3769backed Yes | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7261…db76backed Yes | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…33dcbacked No | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…d41dbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…52acbacked No | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…4995backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…7c29backed No | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…c291backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…c43dbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed No | 72c | 29.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…87a4backed No | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…e64dbacked Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…267fbacked Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3b…5020backed No | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…fc5ebacked Yes | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…b648backed Yes | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…5f67backed No | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79b…da6fbacked Yes | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061b…9787backed No | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…93b1backed Yes | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698d…e0f1backed No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb53…e5c4backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.