Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9cdf20496a21514ca11feeb7bfdca060c7cfde688dc08bcff320824cb818a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 2c | 2,439$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 1,510$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 36c | 433.21$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202a…7779backed No | 61c | 368$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…7915backed Yes | 39c | 271$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…ce88backed Yes | 31c | 264$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 39c | 245.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 602 | 35.7%215 W · 387 L | +41.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…5f08backed No | 68c | 228$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 27c | 220.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 191 | 26.2%50 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Yes | 40c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…7989backed Yes | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…072cbacked No | 72c | 160$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x432b…8fe1backed Yes | 32c | 148$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 34c | 137.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…2cd2backed Yes | 38c | 133.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 57c | 121.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…71b4backed No | 61c | 119$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +17.9wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…c587backed Yes | 39c | 96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccb…b817backed No | 69c | 94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…819fbacked Yes | 39c | 92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…5a5abacked No | 69c | 88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…9d72backed No | 68c | 83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec84…cb9ebacked No | 62c | 81.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…026cbacked No | 64c | 79.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…5464backed Yes | 28c | 77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed No | 26c | 76.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…c00ebacked Yes | 32c | 72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…6fd2backed Yes | 27c | 69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…43fcbacked Yes | 32c | 69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 45c | 66.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed No | 56c | 66.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…1ba7backed Yes | 32c | 66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked No | 41c | 65.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +20.1wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…144cbacked No | 69c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 30c | 62.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a72…3427backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe334…61fdbacked No | 73c | 62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…84c9backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…c1febacked No | 57c | 58.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e5…20f6backed Yes | 27c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…6d5cbacked Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…b648backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…b289backed No | 61c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 31c | 52.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…b06bbacked Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…ccbdbacked Yes | 31c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…90c6backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce93…cdddbacked No | 67c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…6550backed Yes | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…9ec5backed Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccb…9458backed Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c0e1backed Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d52…1fcfbacked Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…413ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…1e3fbacked No | 63c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…d6eebacked Yes | 37c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…b993backed Yes | 43c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…6f2bbacked No | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…491bbacked Yes | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…63d3backed No | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…0966backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e67…a0d2backed Yes | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 38c | 37.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…7053backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…d388backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…6fe8backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…b353backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e0…4791backed No | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848a…4bfcbacked Yes | 36c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…19e3backed No | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…0e0fbacked Yes | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…56c9backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…b664backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…effabacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…ee6abacked No | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…46e9backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…65ccbacked No | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…e56bbacked No | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…1609backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…0509backed No | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efa…f8f2backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb24…e344backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…19abbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…9430backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3b60backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…2d59backed No | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…e977backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf843…cf60backed No | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…1a97backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…a3a9backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…2f83backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4065…d015backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9274…f8fdbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…8441backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc211…689bbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.