TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11c7…d675backed Yes47c122,511$57,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,580.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c00…a074backed No53c122,511$64,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,580.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd180…0c89backed Yes56c28,327$15,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,863.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b9…8d7fbacked No44c28,327$12,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,863.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes35c9,524$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.041,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes45c5,442$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.741154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Yes36c4,903$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.6336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Yes45c2,944$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77b…24abbacked Yes52c2,662$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3921442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No64c2,282$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.8426547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes43c2,073$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.121942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes47c1,941$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.743655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Yes41c1,290$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.621346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+90.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No80c1,251$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5621750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes34c1,244$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4412438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes46c1,170$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.03175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes46c776.24$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.321442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes4c632.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.441040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No57c493.41$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.153246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes44c451.31$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5211141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes50c414.06$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.621118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked No55c380.89$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98e…1ce1backed Yes29c356.4$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.06425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes44c355.75$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.171833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes30c343.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6110124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5464…be5ebacked Yes22c296.66$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes39c284.02$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.041241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…3d26backed No54c236.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes9c202$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6929…2a77backed Yes57c201.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5827…69dcbacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No55c170.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.164245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes23c162.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2222516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes47c161$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0917448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No60c121$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.48862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked No58c108.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.977352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed No55c106.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ca…a847backed No53c102.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…3f38backed Yes50c100.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes24c91.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.697652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1326…522fbacked Yes45c90.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20f…19fcbacked Yes50c87.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4480…4ebcbacked No54c86.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ef…2f40backed No60c86.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes32c86.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…5286backed Yes53c84.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ec…67c6backed No48c83.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ede…4f0abacked Yes40c80.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.71258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+405.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.433837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes50c77.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes56c77.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed No45c72.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Yes32c65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2617…afc5backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+68.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes51c58.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015158.3%88 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed No51c58.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.712045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa74…4c14backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No53c56.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes49c55.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-47.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No37c54.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.357350.7%37 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No55c51.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No50c50.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x801f…55e0backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ced…27edbacked No54c47.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd713…4662backed No41c46.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93d…10fbbacked Yes49c46.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked No48c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c0…a86cbacked Yes49c45.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742b…bf5ebacked No54c45.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+95.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.69251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…cec5backed Yes31c43.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No54c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x367a…de0cbacked No35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…ec30backed Yes40c38.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No46c37.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes47c36.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.353339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc30…1b87backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No53c32.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed No51c30.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793f…4ee5backed No51c29.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa568…12f6backed Yes49c28.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe6…2311backed No55c27.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes38c26.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2260741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaefb…4f21backed Yes49c26.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2962…c47cbacked No56c23.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab67…5fb9backed Yes47c22.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ff…19dfbacked Yes48c22.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb790…2c39backed Yes49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe8…9ab4backed Yes52c21.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x138e…42b4backed Yes53c21.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc6…4f6dbacked No57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe07b…4174backed No57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff2…55febacked No58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099d…652abacked Yes55c20.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.