NHL · resolved market
Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66997b8275d2a5af10478b93462c7fff8f7d6ba56b5aa1d11af49368c25f939e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11c7…d675backed Yes | 47c | 122,511$57,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,580.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…a074backed No | 53c | 122,511$64,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,580.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0c89backed Yes | 56c | 28,327$15,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,863.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…8d7fbacked No | 44c | 28,327$12,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,863.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 35c | 9,524$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 45c | 5,442$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Yes | 36c | 4,903$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.63 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 45c | 2,944$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 52c | 2,662$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 64c | 2,282$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.84 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 43c | 2,073$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 47c | 1,941$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 41c | 1,290$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 34c | 1,244$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.44 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,170$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.03 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 46c | 776.24$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 4c | 632.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 57c | 493.41$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 44c | 451.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 50c | 414.06$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 55c | 380.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…1ce1backed Yes | 29c | 356.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 44c | 355.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 30c | 343.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 22c | 296.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 39c | 284.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…3d26backed No | 54c | 236.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 9c | 202$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…2a77backed Yes | 57c | 201.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5827…69dcbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 55c | 170.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 162.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 47c | 161$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 60c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 58c | 108.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 55c | 106.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…a847backed No | 53c | 102.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…3f38backed Yes | 50c | 100.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 91.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Yes | 45c | 90.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…19fcbacked Yes | 50c | 87.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…4ebcbacked No | 54c | 86.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…2f40backed No | 60c | 86.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 32c | 86.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…5286backed Yes | 53c | 84.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…67c6backed No | 48c | 83.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…4f0abacked Yes | 40c | 80.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +405.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 50c | 77.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 56c | 77.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 45c | 72.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…afc5backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 51c | 58.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 51c | 58.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…4c14backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 53c | 56.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 49c | 55.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 37c | 54.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 55c | 51.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 50c | 50.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…55e0backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…27edbacked No | 54c | 47.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 41c | 46.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93d…10fbbacked Yes | 49c | 46.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…a86cbacked Yes | 49c | 45.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742b…bf5ebacked No | 54c | 45.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…cec5backed Yes | 31c | 43.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…de0cbacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…ec30backed Yes | 40c | 38.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 46c | 37.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 36.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…1b87backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 32.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 51c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 51c | 29.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 49c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2311backed No | 55c | 27.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 26.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…4f21backed Yes | 49c | 26.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…c47cbacked No | 56c | 23.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…5fb9backed Yes | 47c | 22.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…19dfbacked Yes | 48c | 22.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…2c39backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe8…9ab4backed Yes | 52c | 21.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 53c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…4f6dbacked No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…4174backed No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…55febacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099d…652abacked Yes | 55c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy?this page
- Will Cale Makar win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?Yes won
- Will Connor McDavid win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Jack Eichel win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Kirill Kaprizov win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Kyle Connor win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Nathan MacKinnon win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Quinn Hughes win the Hart Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.