NHL · resolved market
Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd44d1171bcaa14ec16c5d564edd8791f75b4eb4feb57c556961d2e739b5fba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf76…5381backed No | 53c | 36,162$19,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,165.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…d28cbacked Yes | 47c | 36,162$16,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,165.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 62c | 18,003$11,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,842.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 49c | 17,604$8,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,575 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Yes | 47c | 7,443$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 59c | 6,643$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.72 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 67c | 6,527$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 49c | 4,535$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.27 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 49c | 3,399$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 40c | 3,397$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 15c | 2,560$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.01 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 29cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 51c | 1,930$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.9 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…1ce1backed Yes | 52c | 1,576$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 30c | 1,486$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.41 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yes | 58c | 1,220$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.9 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…320fbacked Yes | 52c | 964.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 849.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 35c | 788.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.81 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 772.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 61c | 767$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.62 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 748.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 74c | 739.19$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 55c | 670.12$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 52c | 660$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 542.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 40c | 519.19$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 22c | 496$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked No | 13c | 494.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked No | 38c | 458.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 48c | 447.37$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked No | 62c | 440.16$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…2525backed Yes | 37c | 423.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 40c | 380.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 364.02$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…4f0abacked No | 54c | 352.73$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +405.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1885…eb78backed No | 63c | 320.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 55c | 318.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 75c | 317.76$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 49c | 162.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 55c | 162$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 55c | 151.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…8d9fbacked Yes | 59c | 148.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 13c | 144.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 25c | 122.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 46c | 120.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 120$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 63c | 117$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes | 43c | 109.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 52c | 103.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 61c | 103.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5827…69dcbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 47c | 91.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 57c | 87.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 15c | 85.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 45c | 78.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 77.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7939…03d0backed Yes | 48c | 71.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 51c | 69.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 58c | 62.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…55e0backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738c…d1c3backed Yes | 50c | 48.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 70c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…92f0backed No | 54c | 42.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d0…741fbacked No | 54c | 42.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…805fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…ec30backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 40c | 36.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 56c | 35.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 38c | 34.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked No | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…677dbacked Yes | 53c | 29.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 41c | 29.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 68c | 27.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…3633backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 58c | 27.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 44c | 27.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b2bbbacked Yes | 49c | 27.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…a536backed No | 52c | 26.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…3c41backed No | 58c | 25.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 59c | 23.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…0e74backed Yes | 45c | 23.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 51c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 53c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…92e4backed No | 55c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?this page
- Will Cale Makar win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Connor McDavid win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Jack Eichel win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Kirill Kaprizov win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Kyle Connor win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Nathan MacKinnon win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy?No won
- Will Quinn Hughes win the Hart Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.