Us Politics · resolved market
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50bfa6f02cf76992b86ff67ce72f89c4a74c3f736bf96c57f77af04a8310c155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 24c | 44,425$10,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,618.17 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…8553backed Yes | 77c | 43,301$33,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed Yes | 74c | 36,788$27,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,521.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 21c | 31,440$6,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.09 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 28c | 24,389$6,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 14c | 17,801$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.11 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…9056backed No | 29c | 16,679$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked No | 6c | 14,000$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 15c | 11,013$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.39 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 72c | 10,744$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 79c | 10,211$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.45 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed No | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…ae47backed No | 1c | 9,131$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 75c | 8,800$6,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.99 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…366bbacked Yes | 79c | 7,646$6,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 22c | 7,380$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.65 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked No | 7c | 7,358$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 18c | 6,840$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.7 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 64c | 6,530$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.25 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked No | 19c | 6,430$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…7737backed No | 28c | 6,018$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 75c | 5,458$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.26 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 29c | 5,428$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.97 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…b737backed No | 10c | 5,150$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…af39backed No | 8c | 5,000$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…a467backed No | 9c | 4,819$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 23c | 4,731$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.85 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…e37cbacked No | 33c | 4,686$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 68c | 4,500$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 75c | 4,364$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.32 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 25c | 4,126$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.8 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 20c | 4,000$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.69 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 3,920$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.04 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 54c | 3,750$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.21 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 30c | 3,719$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.64 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 26c | 3,697$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.77 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…72bebacked No | 30c | 3,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 2c | 3,361$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…235bbacked No | 29c | 3,328$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 75c | 3,205$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 2c | 3,164$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 66c | 3,132$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed No | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff01…73ccbacked No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 7c | 2,963$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 58c | 2,885$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.97 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 11c | 2,884$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.06 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 53c | 2,881$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…e733backed No | 4c | 2,606$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 30c | 2,551$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 14c | 2,509$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.03 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 77c | 2,442$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 15c | 2,410$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 25c | 2,409$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.95 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 74c | 2,190$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.45 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…fa65backed Yes | 69c | 2,180$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 27c | 2,133$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457b…1280backed No | 2c | 2,081$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…256bbacked No | 22c | 2,034$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.7 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 25c | 2,030$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c13…b4d0backed Yes | 75c | 1,984$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 33c | 1,925$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.05 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Yes | 75c | 1,886$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed No | 6c | 1,797$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…338dbacked No | 6c | 1,761$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…5819backed No | 57c | 1,699$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed No | 1c | 1,688$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 2c | 1,635$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 4c | 1,629$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…678bbacked No | 30c | 1,589$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed No | 11c | 1,587$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 28c | 1,572$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed No | 8c | 1,516$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.98 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked No | 35c | 1,488$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed Yes | 75c | 1,445$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 76c | 1,443$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 6c | 1,423$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked No | 6c | 1,417$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…21adbacked No | 7c | 1,362$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…43b9backed Yes | 77c | 1,301$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 79c | 1,250$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 71c | 1,241$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 28c | 1,234$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.85 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,200$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…fc95backed Yes | 75c | 1,199$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…e141backed Yes | 74c | 1,190$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 79c | 1,188$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 8c | 1,159$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 15c | 1,122$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…d58dbacked No | 30c | 1,101$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 72c | 1,086$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.08 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c4a8backed Yes | 43c | 1,049$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…de68backed Yes | 72c | 1,032$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…2e2fbacked No | 6c | 1,023$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…995fbacked No | 7c | 1,007$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.