Movies · resolved market
Will "I Am Ready, Warden" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b85aa36eaf1d7a3a206fc32e5fba477d2cc2e888ee9703644a5c6ca5c457e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 54c | 2,506$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,662$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.42 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 52c | 1,571$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.8 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 57c | 1,101$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.26 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 45c | 1,096$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.06 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 44c | 769.71$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.43 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 57c | 707.18$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 45c | 662.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 58c | 631.44$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.55 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 594.62$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.09 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 56c | 576.63$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.48 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 43c | 460.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 53c | 433.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…1a98backed Yes | 47c | 430.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 45c | 426.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ecdebacked Yes | 48c | 419.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…4f0dbacked Yes | 50c | 405.84$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 30c | 369$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…53bcbacked Yes | 40c | 328.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 53c | 301.75$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 60c | 290$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 55c | 288.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 41c | 280$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d8…521dbacked Yes | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ccb5backed Yes | 41c | 218.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 45c | 213.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 55c | 210.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed No | 54c | 203.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 53c | 202.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 59c | 199.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 196.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 58c | 194$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 54c | 176$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…8e75backed Yes | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…31a3backed Yes | 44c | 169$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 55c | 162.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…f508backed Yes | 48c | 156.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…58b7backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf9…165bbacked No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…a578backed No | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc77c…6cd6backed No | 56c | 142.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…caaabacked Yes | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 127.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 47c | 126.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 25c | 125.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…ab7cbacked Yes | 48c | 123$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…4dfdbacked No | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 41c | 121.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 41c | 121.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…214abacked Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…a432backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…7038backed Yes | 43c | 116.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…7bcabacked No | 55c | 112.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…3dcabacked Yes | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 56c | 105.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…bafbbacked Yes | 47c | 100.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…dab1backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…86bdbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca8…bfb2backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d81…5437backed No | 55c | 91.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 90.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…5088backed Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9b…abb4backed No | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 39c | 89.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…dbbdbacked No | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…f4adbacked No | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…6107backed No | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a9e2backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…74a9backed No | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 62c | 67.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 43c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…07e3backed No | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c98…2405backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ed…876bbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2b…61c6backed No | 56c | 59.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…e522backed No | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…4c1fbacked Yes | 47c | 58.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…41c9backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…753ebacked No | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa18…435bbacked No | 56c | 50.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…738fbacked No | 56c | 49.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…9e5dbacked Yes | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…402fbacked Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…359cbacked Yes | 69c | 43.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…23ddbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "I Am Ready, Warden" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "Death by Numbers" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Incident" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Instruments of a Beating Heart" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Only Girl in the Orchestra" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.