Us Politics · resolved market
Trump cabinet member out before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89096b72f0a864e7d356b9cf18ab813a0b194ac53c56219a6bb49a63f6371f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 27c | 34,308$9,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,113.82 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…b0cabacked No | 68c | 7,913$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 16c | 7,730$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.34 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 63c | 7,133$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.39 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 78c | 6,123$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 76c | 5,399$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.74 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 67c | 4,474$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.35 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 17c | 2,990$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.46 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 26c | 2,892$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.08 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 22c | 2,854$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.97 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 77c | 2,538$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.58 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 44c | 2,533$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.4 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,490$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 75c | 2,073$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.51 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 18c | 2,007$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.54 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 60c | 1,836$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.23 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 17c | 1,718$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.81 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 18c | 1,252$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Yes | 2c | 1,217$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed Yes | 25c | 1,146$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 76c | 1,093$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.95 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 80c | 1,006$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…cbc1backed Yes | 72c | 996.87$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 63c | 938.5$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.14 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 30c | 857.44$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 17c | 757.34$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 29c | 722$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 77c | 713$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 72c | 700.47$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 32c | 693.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 79c | 691.68$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…dbd2backed Yes | 44c | 686.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 56c | 648.02$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.88 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…26fabacked Yes | 38c | 590$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…5c27backed No | 72c | 553.54$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Yes | 26c | 551.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 19c | 534.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 20c | 533.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…53bcbacked Yes | 24c | 516.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…28f4backed No | 61c | 488.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 21c | 482.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 18c | 415.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed No | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 397.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 62c | 366.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…3ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 365.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 29c | 350.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 343.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 8c | 327.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked No | 57c | 327.81$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked No | 73c | 271.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 80c | 256.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 25c | 255.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…b330backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed Yes | 27c | 250$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 56c | 229.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 79c | 228.96$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 30c | 225.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0959…ae0dbacked Yes | 5c | 216.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…043bbacked No | 59c | 204$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…4b34backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…cc1fbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +449.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed No | 79c | 188.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…89adbacked Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 65c | 175.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…09ebbacked Yes | 38c | 174.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 34c | 171.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…fc54backed Yes | 63c | 152.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed Yes | 28c | 139.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 74c | 138$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…58cabacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 17c | 126.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 26c | 125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 123.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 21c | 122.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…8aedbacked Yes | 41c | 121.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 38c | 119.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed No | 79c | 105.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 39c | 103.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…adf5backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…dcc6backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…1039backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 66c | 96.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 39c | 94.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.